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We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target…

In this paper, we study a new type of spatial sparse recovery problem, that is to infer the fine-grained spatial distribution of certain density data in a region only based on the aggregate observations recorded for each of its subregions.…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-03-02 Bang Liu , Borislav Mavrin , Linglong Kong , Di Niu

Stochastic approximation techniques have been used in various contexts in data science. We propose a stochastic version of the forward-backward algorithm for minimizing the sum of two convex functions, one of which is not necessarily…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-02-26 Patrick L. Combettes , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

The smoothing spline is one of the most popular curve-fitting methods, partly because of empirical evidence supporting its effectiveness and partly because of its elegant mathematical formulation. However, there are two obstacles that…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-11 Yu Ryan Yue , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Image restoration aims to recover high-quality images from degraded observations. When the degradation process is known, the recovery problem can be formulated as an inverse problem, and in a Bayesian context, the goal is to sample a clean…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-13 Darshan Thaker , Abhishek Goyal , René Vidal

The Mat\'ern covariance model is ubiquitous in spatial modelling, but there is no default choice for spatio-temporal modelling. In this paper, we consider the recently proposed ``diffusion-based'' extension of the spatial Mat\'ern…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-30 S. Knutsen Furset , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Espen R. Jakobsen

We consider the problem of sampling from a product-of-experts-type model that encompasses many standard prior and posterior distributions commonly found in Bayesian imaging. We show that this model can be easily lifted into a novel latent…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-16 Muhamed Kuric , Martin Zach , Andreas Habring , Michael Unser , Thomas Pock

Discrete time spatial time series data arise routinely in meteorological and environmental studies. Inference and prediction associated with them are mostly carried out using any of the several variants of the linear state space model that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-25 Suman Guha , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Performing Bayesian inference on large spatio-temporal models requires extracting inverse elements of large sparse precision matrices for marginal variances, as well as estimating model hyperparameters. Although direct matrix factorizations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Elias T. Krainski , Håvard Rue

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. We propose a new SMC algorithm to compute the expectation of additive functionals recursively.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-12-27 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

The convergence rate is analyzed for the SpaSRA algorithm (Sparse Reconstruction by Separable Approximation) for minimizing a sum $f (\m{x}) + \psi (\m{x})$ where $f$ is smooth and $\psi$ is convex, but possibly nonsmooth. It is shown that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2009-12-10 William Hager , Dzung Phan , Hongchao Zhang

The need for fast sparse optimization is emerging, e.g., to deal with large-dimensional data-driven problems and to track time-varying systems. In the framework of linear sparse optimization, the iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-22 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Diego Regruto

Many scientific phenomena are studied using computer experiments consisting of multiple runs of a computer model while varying the input settings. Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular tool for the analysis of computer experiments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Earl Lawrence

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley