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There is growing evidence of systematic attempts to influence democratic elections by controlled and digitally organized dissemination of fake news. This raises the question of the intrinsic robustness of democratic electoral processes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-03 Glory M. Givi , Robin Delabays , Matthieu Jacquemet , Philippe Jacquod

Polls posted on social media have emerged in recent years as an important tool for estimating public opinion, e.g., to gauge public support for business decisions and political candidates in national elections. Here, we examine nearly two…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Chhandak Bagchi , Mattia Samory , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

The democratization of AI tools for content generation, combined with unrestricted access to mass media for all (e.g. through microblogging and social media), makes it increasingly hard for people to distinguish fact from fiction. This…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-28 Xi Chen , Panayiotis Tsaparas , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

In modern democracies, the outcome of elections and referendums is often remarkably tight. The repetition of these divisive events are the hallmark of a split society; to the physicist, however, it is an astonishing feat for such large…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-02-20 Olivier Devauchelle , Piotr Szymczak , Piotr Nowakowski

Optimizing recommender systems based on user interaction data is mainly seen as a problem of dealing with selection bias, where most existing work assumes that interactions from different users are independent. However, it has been shown…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-07-04 Norman Knyazev , Harrie Oosterhuis

In light of the classic impossibility results of Arrow and Gibbard and Satterthwaite regarding voting with ordinal rules, there has been recent interest in characterizing how well common voting rules approximate the social optimum. In order…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-29 Yu Cheng , Shaddin Dughmi , David Kempe

The election control problem through social influence asks to find a set of nodes in a social network of voters to be the starters of a political campaign aiming at supporting a given target candidate. Voters reached by the campaign change…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-14 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

There are many factors that can influence the outcome of an election. We here identify two dominant effects that can affect the votes obtained by a candidate, namely, the Majority Effect and the Media Effect. We mimic these two effects in a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Chung-I Chou , Sai-Ping Li

Biases with respect to socially-salient attributes of individuals have been well documented in evaluation processes used in settings such as admissions and hiring. We view such an evaluation process as a transformation of a distribution of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 L. Elisa Celis , Amit Kumar , Anay Mehrotra , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Political polarization can be beneficial to competing political parties. I study how electoral competition itself generates incentives to polarize voters, even when parties are ex ante identical and motivated purely by political power,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-02 Giampaolo Bonomi

Social influence profoundly impacts individual choices and collective behaviors in politics. In this work, driven by the goal of protecting elections from improper influence, we consider the following scenario: an individual, who has vested…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Dragos Ristache , Fabian Spaeh , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

The flourishing of fake news is favored by recommendation algorithms of online social networks which, based on previous users activity, provide content adapted to their preferences and so create filter bubbles. We introduce an analytically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Giordano De Marzo , Andrea Zaccaria , Claudio Castellano

The resilience of a voting system has been a central topic in computational social choice. Many voting rules, like plurality, are shown to be vulnerable as the attacker can target specific voters to manipulate the result. What if a local…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-05-04 Liangde Tao , Lin Chen , Lei Xu , Weidong Shi

We consider elections where both voters and candidates can be associated with points in a metric space and voters prefer candidates that are closer to those that are farther away. It is often assumed that the optimal candidate is the one…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-01-23 Grzegorz Pierczyński , Piotr Skowron

Recovering and distinguishing between the strict-preference, indifference and/or indecisiveness parts of a decision maker's preferences is a challenging task but also important for testing theory and conducting welfare analysis. This paper…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-15 Georgios Gerasimou

We use causal inference to study how designing ballots with and without party designations impacts electoral outcomes when partisan voters rely on party-order cues to infer candidate affiliation in races without designations. If the party…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Alessandro Arlotto , Alexandre Belloni , Fei Fang , Saša Pekeč

We consider missingness in the context of causal inference when the outcome of interest may be missing. If the outcome directly affects its own missingness status, i.e., it is "self-censoring", this may lead to severely biased causal effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Jacob M Chen , Daniel Malinsky , Rohit Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of evaluating the performance of a decision policy using past observational data. The outcome of a policy is measured in terms of a loss (aka. disutility or negative reward) and the main problem is making valid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Fredrik D. Johansson , Petre Stoica

Confirmation bias and peer pressure both have substantial impacts on the formation of collective decisions. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to study how the interplay between these two mechanisms affects public opinion evolution.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-22 Longzhao Liu , Xin Wang , Shaoting Tang , Zhiming Zheng

We study an outcome of a vote in a population of voters exposed to an externally applied bias in favour of one of two potential candidates. The population consists of ordinary individuals, that are in majority and tend to align their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-31 V. S. Dotsenko , C. Mejía-Monasterio , G. Oshanin