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相关论文: Can the Replication Rate Tell Us About Publication…

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The machine learning publication process is broken, of that there can be no doubt. Many of these flaws are attributed to the current workflow: LaTeX to PDF to reviewers to camera ready PDF. This has understandably resulted in the desire for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Owen Lockwood

Although living organisms are affected by many interrelated and unidentified variables, this complexity does not automatically impose a fundamental limitation on statistical inference. Nor need one invoke such complexity as an explanation…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-02-06 Drew M. Thomas

Countless new machine learning models are published every year and are reported to significantly advance the state-of-the-art in top-n recommendation. However, earlier reproducibility studies indicate that progress in this area may be quite…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Michael Benigni , Maurizio Ferrari Dacrema , Dietmar Jannach

Data-driven models are central to scientific discovery. In efforts to achieve state-of-the-art model accuracy, researchers are employing increasingly complex machine learning algorithms that often outperform simple regressions in…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Eric S. Muckley , James E. Saal , Bryce Meredig , Christopher S. Roper , John H. Martin

The systematic biases seen in people's probability judgments are typically taken as evidence that people do not reason about probability using the rules of probability theory, but instead use heuristics which sometimes yield reasonable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-05-01 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

One of the virtues of peer review is that it provides a self-regulating selection mechanism for scientific work, papers and projects. Peer review as a selection mechanism is hard to evaluate in terms of its efficiency. Serious efforts to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

How predictable is success in complex social systems? In spite of a recent profusion of prediction studies that exploit online social and information network data, this question remains unanswered, in part because it has not been adequately…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-02-03 Travis Martin , Jake M. Hofman , Amit Sharma , Ashton Anderson , Duncan J. Watts

In this paper we present "citation success index", a metric for comparing the citation capacity of pairs of journals. Citation success index is the probability that a random paper in one journal has more citations than a random paper in…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2016-12-23 Staša Milojević , Filippo Radicchi , Judit Bar-Ilan

Can we predict the future popularity of a song, movie or tweet? Recent work suggests that although it may be hard to predict an item's popularity when it is first introduced, peeking into its early adopters and properties of their social…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-04-01 Benjamin Shulman , Amit Sharma , Dan Cosley

Replication is complicated in psychological research because studies of a given psychological phenomenon can never be direct or exact replications of one another, and thus effect sizes vary from one study of the phenomenon to the next--an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , Jennifer L. Tackett , Ulf Bockenholt , Andrew Gelman

Analyzing a large data set of publications drawn from the most competitive journals in the natural and social sciences we show that research careers exhibit the broad distributions of individual achievement characteristic of systems in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-11-24 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner

The reproduction and replication of research results has become a major issue for a number of scientific disciplines. In computer science and related computational disciplines such as systems biology, the challenges closely revolve around…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2017-07-31 Tom Crick , Benjamin A. Hall , Samin Ishtiaq

As a firm varies the price of a product, consumers exhibit reference effects, making purchase decisions based not only on the prevailing price but also the product's price history. We consider the problem of learning such behavioral…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-31 Abbas Kazerouni , Benjamin Van Roy

Replication helps ensure that a genotype-phenotype association observed in a genome-wide association (GWA) study represents a credible association and is not a chance finding or an artifact due to uncontrolled biases. We discuss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-26 Peter Kraft , Eleftheria Zeggini , John P. A. Ioannidis

In recent years, model collapse has become a critical issue in language model training, making it essential to understand the underlying mechanisms driving this phenomenon. In this paper, we investigate recursive parametric model training…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Shirong Xu , Hengzhi He , Guang Cheng

The high incidence of irreproducible research has led to urgent appeals for transparency and equitable practices in open science. For the scientific disciplines that rely on computationally intensive analyses of large data sets, a granular…

Numerous studies have revealed biases within the scientific communication system and across all scientific fields. For example, already prominent researchers receive disproportional credit compared to their (almost) equally qualified…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2015-12-18 Paul H. P. Hanel

Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly used across many disciplines with impressive reported results. However, recent studies suggest published performance of ML models are often overoptimistic. Validity concerns are underscored by findings…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Pouria Saidi , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

Lack of repeatability and generalisability are two significant threats to continuing scientific development in Natural Language Processing. Language models and learning methods are so complex that scientific conference papers no longer…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-08-07 Andrew Moore , Paul Rayson

The solution to science's replication crisis is a new ecosystem in which scientists sell what they learn from their research. In each pairwise transaction, the information seller makes (loses) money if he turns out to be correct…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-09-13 Bruce Knuteson