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Time series data with missing values is common across many domains. Healthcare presents special challenges due to prolonged periods of sensor disconnection. In such cases, having a confidence measure for imputed values is critical. Most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Addison Weatherhead , Anna Goldenberg

Self-supervised learning has emerged as a powerful paradigm for pretraining foundation models using large-scale data. Existing pretraining approaches predominantly rely on masked reconstruction or next-token prediction strategies,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Praveen Ravirathinam , Ajitesh Parthasarathy , Ankush Khandelwal , Rahul Ghosh , Vipin Kumar

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

AI systems are notorious for their fragility; minor input changes can potentially cause major output swings. When such systems are deployed in critical areas like finance, the consequences of their uncertain behavior could be severe. In…

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) require diverse, real-world datasets to adapt across varying domains and temporal frequencies. However, current large-scale datasets predominantly focus on low-frequency time series with sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Subina Khanal , Seshu Tirupathi , Merim Dzaferagic , Marco Ruffini , Torben Bach Pedersen

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

When solving forecasting problems including multiple time-series features, existing approaches often fall into two extreme categories, depending on whether to utilize inter-feature information: univariate and complete-multivariate models.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Jaehoon Lee , Hankook Lee , Sungik Choi , Sungjun Cho , Moontae Lee

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

In multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF), extracting the temporal correlations of the input sequences is crucial. While popular Transformer-based predictive models can perform well, their quadratic computational complexity results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Shusen Ma , Yu Kang , Peng Bai , Yun-Bo Zhao

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Sparse and irregularly sampled multivariate time series are common in clinical, climate, financial and many other domains. Most recent approaches focus on classification, regression or forecasting tasks on such data. In forecasting, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Shivam Srivastava , Prithviraj Sen , Berthold Reinwald

Time series forecasting (TSF) possesses great practical values in various fields, including power and energy, transportation, etc. TSF methods have been studied based on knowledge from classical statistics to modern deep learning. Yet, all…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Luoxiao Yang , Yun Wang , Xinqi Fan , Israel Cohen , Jingdong Chen , Zijun Zhang

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) plays a crucial role across diverse fields, ranging from economic, energy, to traffic. In recent years, deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in MTSF tasks. In MTSF, modeling the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Junkai Lu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

In this paper, we study the problem of inferring time-varying Markov random fields (MRF), where the underlying graphical model is both sparse and changes sparsely over time. Most of the existing methods for the inference of time-varying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Salar Fattahi , Andres Gomez

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

Multi-step forecasting (MSF) in time-series, the ability to make predictions multiple time steps into the future, is fundamental to almost all temporal domains. To make such forecasts, one must assume the recursive complexity of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Riku Green , Grant Stevens , Telmo de Menezes e Silva Filho , Zahraa Abdallah

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li