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There has been increasing interest in recent years in the development of approaches to estimate causal effects when the number of potential confounders is prohibitively large. This growth in interest has led to a number of potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-05 Joseph Antonelli , Matthew Cefalu

We outline a Bayesian model-averaged meta-analysis for standardized mean differences in order to quantify evidence for both treatment effectiveness $\delta$ and across-study heterogeneity $\tau$. We construct four competing models by…

Individuals often make different decisions when faced with the same context, due to personal preferences and background. For instance, judges may vary in their leniency towards certain drug-related offenses, and doctors may vary in their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Justin Lim , Christina X Ji , Michael Oberst , Saul Blecker , Leora Horwitz , David Sontag

Data heterogeneity is a prevalent issue, stemming from various conflicting factors, making its utilization complex. This uncertainty, particularly resulting from disparities in data formats, frequently necessitates the involvement of…

The integration of data and knowledge from several sources is known as data fusion. When data is only available in a distributed fashion or when different sensors are used to infer a quantity of interest, data fusion becomes essential. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Peng Wu , Tales Imbiriba , Victor Elvira , Pau Closas

Stochastic multiplicative dynamics characterize many complex natural phenomena such as selection and mutation in evolving populations, and the generation and distribution of wealth within social systems. Population heterogeneity in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-21 Jordan T. Kemp , Luís M. A. Bettencourt

Sample average approximation (SAA), a popular method for tractably solving stochastic optimization problems, enjoys strong asymptotic performance guarantees in settings with independent training samples. However, these guarantees are not…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-13 Yafei Wang , Bo Pan , Wei Tu , Peng Liu , Bei Jiang , Chao Gao , Wei Lu , Shangling Jui , Linglong Kong

Regulation of advanced technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become increasingly important, given the associated risks and apparent ethical issues. With the great benefits promised from being able to first supply such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-01-05 Theodor Cimpeanu , Francisco C. Santos , Luis Moniz Pereira , Tom Lenaerts , The Anh Han

Data-driven optimization uses contextual information and machine learning algorithms to find solutions to decision problems with uncertain parameters. While a vast body of work is dedicated to interpreting machine learning models in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-21 Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

We present a new approach to the problems of evaluating and learning personalized decision policies from observational data of past contexts, decisions, and outcomes. Only the outcome of the enacted decision is available and the historical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

When incorporating historical control data into the analysis of current randomized controlled trial data, it is critical to account for differences between the datasets. When the cause of the difference is an unmeasured factor and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Kazushi Maruo , Takashi Sozu , Masahiko Gosho

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

Sequential recommendation aims to choose the most suitable items for a user at a specific timestamp given historical behaviors. Existing methods usually model the user behavior sequence based on the transition-based methods like Markov…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-07-11 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Fengzhu Wu , Sili Zhang , Hao Gu , Yuexing Hao , Yuguang

Similarity choice data occur when humans make choices among alternatives based on their similarity to a target, e.g., in the context of information retrieval and in embedding learning settings. Classical metric-based models of similarity…

Data collected in the real world often encapsulates historical discrimination against disadvantaged groups and individuals. Existing fair machine learning (FairML) research has predominantly focused on mitigating discriminative bias in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Zhining Liu , Ruizhong Qiu , Zhichen Zeng , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Hanghang Tong

Undesired bias afflicts both human and algorithmic decision making, and may be especially prevalent when information processing trade-offs incentivize the use of heuristics. One primary example is \textit{statistical discrimination} --…

In data-driven inverse optimization an observer aims to learn the preferences of an agent who solves a parametric optimization problem depending on an exogenous signal. Thus, the observer seeks the agent's objective function that best…

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

We consider the problem of optimizing the interconnection graphs of complex networks to promote synchronization. When traditional optimization methods are inapplicable, due to uncertain or unknown node dynamics, we propose a data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-29 Marco Coraggio , Mario di Bernardo