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This paper introduces a simple, general framework for likelihood-free Bayesian reinforcement learning, through Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). The main advantage is that we only require a prior distribution on a class of simulators…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-07-01 Christos Dimitrakakis , Nikolaos Tziortziotis

An important problem for HCI researchers is to estimate the parameter values of a cognitive model from behavioral data. This is a difficult problem, because of the substantial complexity and variety in human behavioral strategies. We report…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables parameter inference for complex physical systems in cases where the true likelihood function is unknown, unavailable, or computationally too expensive. It relies on the forward simulation of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-08-13 E. E. O. Ishida , S. D. P. Vitenti , M. Penna-Lima , J. Cisewski , R. S. de Souza , A. M. M. Trindade , E. Cameron , V. C. Busti

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), also known as likelihood-free methods, have become a favourite tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models, primarily in population genetics but also in financial analyses. We advocated in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-18 Christian Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh S. Pillai

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

Fairness concerns are increasingly critical as machine learning models are deployed in high-stakes applications. While existing fairness-aware methods typically intervene at the model level, they often suffer from high computational costs,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Yixuan Zhang , Jiabin Luo , Zhenggang Wang , Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong

Bayesian methods provide an elegant framework for estimating parameter posteriors and quantification of uncertainty associated with probabilistic models. However, they often suffer from slow inference times. To address this challenge,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Piyush Tiwary , Kumar Shubham , Vivek V. Kashyap , Prathosh A. P

Mechanistic models are essential tools across ecology, epidemiology, and the life sciences, but parameter inference remains challenging when likelihood functions are intractable. Approximate Bayesian Computation with Sequential Monte Carlo…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-27 Mario Castro

Simulation models often lack tractable likelihood functions, making likelihood-free inference methods indispensable. Approximate Bayesian computation generates likelihood-free posterior samples by comparing simulated and observed data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a powerful and elegant framework for performing inference in simulation-based models. However, due to the difficulty in scaling likelihood estimates, ABC remains useful for relatively…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-09 Edward Meeds , Robert Leenders , Max Welling

We study the asymptotic consistency properties of $\alpha$-R\'enyi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Prateek Jaiswal , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

We consider the problem of sampling from a posterior distribution arising in Bayesian inverse problems in science, engineering, and imaging. Our method belongs to the family of independence Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) sampling algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Youguang Chen , George Biros

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-14 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

We analyze the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), which approximates a likelihood function by drawing pseudo-samples from the associated model. For the rejection sampling version of ABC, it is known that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-18 Luke Bornn , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith , Dawn Woodard

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

A central statistical goal is to choose between alternative explanatory models of data. In many modern applications, such as population genetics, it is not possible to apply standard methods based on evaluating the likelihood functions of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-02-25 Dennis Prangle , Paul Fearnhead , Murray P. Cox , Patrick J. Biggs , Nigel P. French

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Approximate Bayesian inference typically revolves around computing the posterior parameter distribution. In practice, however, the main object of interest is often a model's predictions rather than its parameters. In this work, we propose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Julian Rodemann , Alexander Marquard , Thomas Augustin , Michele Caprio

In this paper, we consider a class of difference-of-convex (DC) optimization problems, which require only a weaker restricted $L$-smooth adaptable property on the smooth part of the objective function, instead of the standard global…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-30 Lei Yang , Jingjing Hu , Kim-Chuan Toh