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From 2020 to 2023, Major League Baseball changed rules affecting team composition, player positioning, and game time. Understanding the effects of these rules is crucial for leagues, teams, players, and other relevant parties to assess…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

The field of quantitative analytics has transformed the world of sports over the last decade. To date, these analytic approaches are statistical at their core, characterizing what is and what was, while using this information to drive…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Connor Douglas , Everett Witt , Mia Bendy , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the game in order to give their team the best chance of winning. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Tristan Mott , Caleb Bradshaw , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

Batting average is one of the principle performance measures for an individual baseball player. It is natural to statistically model this as a binomial-variable proportion, with a given (observed) number of qualifying attempts (called…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Lawrence D. Brown

Within baseball analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. One such measure is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Benjamin S. Baumer , Shane T. Jensen , Gregory J. Matthews

Recent measurement technologies enable us to analyze baseball at higher levels. There are, however, still many unclear points around the pitching strategy. The two elements make it difficult to measure the effect of pitching strategy.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Hiroshi Nakahara , Kazuya Takeda , Keisuke Fujii

Cricket, "a Gentleman's Game", is a prominent sport rising worldwide. Due to the rising competitiveness of the sport, players and team management have become more professional with their approach. Prior studies predicted individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Ahmad Al Asad , Kazi Nishat Anwar , Ilhum Zia Chowdhury , Akif Azam , Tarif Ashraf , Tanvir Rahman

Runs Batted IN (RBI) records the number of runs a hitter directly drives in during their plate appearances and reflects a batter's ability to convert opportunities into scoring. Because producing runs determines game outcomes, RBI has long…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Wuhuan Deng

The infield shift has been increasingly used as a defensive strategy in baseball in recent years. Along with the upward trend in its usage, the notoriety of the shift has grown, as it is believed to be responsible for the recent decline in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Sonia Markes , Linbo Wang , Jessica Gronsbell , Katherine Evans

Numerous statistics have been proposed for the measure of offensive ability in major league baseball. While some of these measures may offer moderate predictive power in certain situations, it is unclear which simple offensive metrics are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , Alexander Braunstein , James Piette , Shane T. Jensen

Traditional NBA player evaluation metrics are based on scoring differential or some pace-adjusted linear combination of box score statistics like points, rebounds, assists, etc. These measures treat performances with the outcome of the game…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-21 Sameer K. Deshpande , Shane T. Jensen

As a dedicated follower of sports statistics and with the MLB season beginning in late March, I set out to predict how many wins each team would accumulate by the end of the 162 game season. The goal was to build a simulation framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Simon Cha

We present an algorithm for learning the intrinsic value of a batted ball in baseball. This work addresses the fundamental problem of separating the value of a batted ball at contact from factors such as the defense, weather, and ballpark…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-02 Glenn Healey

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

The baseball game is often seen as many contests that are performed between individuals. The duel between the pitcher and the batter, for example, is considered the engine that drives the sport. The pitchers use a variety of strategies to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Nina Wiedemann , Carlos Dietrich , Claudio T. Silva

Predicting batting averages for specific batters against specific pitchers is a challenging problem in baseball. Previous methods for estimating batting averages in these matchups have used regression models that can incorporate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-06 Michael J. O'Connell

Evaluation of intervention in a multiagent system, e.g., when humans should intervene in autonomous driving systems and when a player should pass to teammates for a good shot, is challenging in various engineering and scientific fields.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Keisuke Fujii , Koh Takeuchi , Atsushi Kuribayashi , Naoya Takeishi , Yoshinobu Kawahara , Kazuya Takeda

In most popular sports leagues, like the MLB, NBA, and NFL, none of the commonly used statistics take into account the strengths of the opponents a player faces. One of the main reasons for this is the conventional belief that a player's…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Francis Liu

In modern physical education, data-driven evaluation methods have gradually attracted attention, especially the quantitative prediction of students' sports performance through machine learning model. The purpose of this study is to use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Shaoxuan Sun , Jingao Yuan , Yuelin Yang

We present a tractable framework for detecting changes in performance metrics and apply these methods to Major League Baseball (MLB) batting and pitching data from the 2023 and 2024 seasons. We propose a changepoint detection algorithm that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Amanda Glazer
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