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A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

In this article, we consider Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms for exploring the intractable posterior density associated with Bayesian probit linear mixed models under improper priors on the regression coefficients and variance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-26 Xin Wang , Vivekananda Roy

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-22 Jingyu He , Nicholas Polson , Jianeng Xu

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as promising foundation models for prediction from tabular datasets, achieving state-of-the-art performance on small to moderate data sizes without tuning. While PFNs are motivated by Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

Deep neural networks (NNs) are known for their high-prediction performances. However, NNs are prone to yield unreliable predictions when encountering completely new situations without indicating their uncertainty. Bayesian variants of NNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-25 Kai Brach , Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

Doubly intractable problems occur when both the likelihood and the posterior are available only in unnormalised form, with computationally intractable normalisation constants. Bayesian inference then typically requires direct approximation…

Bayesian inference in biological modeling commonly relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of a multidimensional and non-Gaussian posterior distribution that is not analytically tractable. Here, we present the implementation of a…

Motivated by the analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of the skew-normal distribution, showing that they lead to closed-form…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-15 Antonio Canale , Bruno Scarpa

Federated Bayesian neural networks require fixing a prior on the model parameters together with a likelihood. Eliciting meaningful priors on the weight space of modern overparameterized models is notoriously difficult, and misspecification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Boning Zhang , Matteo Zecchin , Mingzhao Guo , Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider a binary unsupervised classification problem where each observation is associated with an unobserved label that we want to retrieve. More precisely, we assume that there are two groups of observation: normal and abnormal. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-05-05 Stevenn Volant , Marie-Laure Martin Magniette , Stéphane Robin

Methods based on Deep Learning have recently been applied on astrophysical parameter recovery thanks to their ability to capture information from complex data. One of these methods is the approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) which…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Héctor J. Hortúa , Luz Ángela García , Leonardo Castañeda C

In this paper, we consider objective Bayesian inference of the generalized exponential distribution using the independence Jeffreys prior and validate the propriety of the posterior distribution under a family of structured priors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-26 Aojun Li , Keying Ye , Min Wang

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

Quantile estimation and regression within the Bayesian framework is challenging as the choice of likelihood and prior is not obvious. In this paper, we introduce a novel Bayesian nonparametric method for quantile estimation and regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

Inferring the means in the multivariate normal model $X \sim N_n(\theta, I)$ with unknown mean vector $\theta=(\theta_1,...,\theta_n)' \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and observed data $X=(X_1,...,X_n)'\in {\mathbb R}^n$ is a challenging task, known as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Chuanhai Liu

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Incorporating information about the target distribution in proposal mechanisms generally produces efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (or at least, algorithms that are more efficient than uninformed counterparts). For instance, it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-27 Philippe Gagnon

This paper studies the sparse normal mean models under the empirical Bayes framework. We focus on the mixture priors with an atom at zero and a density component centered at a data driven location determined by maximizing the marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-20 Xianyang Zhang , Anirban Bhattacharya

Recent work has shown that the prior over functions induced by a deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) behaves as a Gaussian process (GP) as the width of all layers becomes large. However, many BNN applications are concerned with the BNN…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Jiri Hron , Yasaman Bahri , Roman Novak , Jeffrey Pennington , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein