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To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Diffusion models offer a physically grounded framework for probabilistic weather forecasting, but their typical reliance on slow, iterative solvers during inference makes them impractical for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) applications where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Jason Stock , Troy Arcomano , Rao Kotamarthi

Prediction intervals are a machine- and human-interpretable way to represent predictive uncertainty in a regression analysis. In this paper, we present a method for generating prediction intervals along with point estimates from an ensemble…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Tárik S. Salem , Helge Langseth , Heri Ramampiaro

As acute climate change impacts weather and climate variability, there is increased demand for robust climate impact model predictions from which forecasts of the impacts can be derived. The quality of those predictions are limited by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Julian Kuehnert , Deborah McGlynn , Sekou L. Remy , Aisha Walcott-Bryant , Anne Jones

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Precipitation nowcasting (short-term forecasting) is still often performed using numerical solvers for physical equations, which are computationally expensive and make limited use of the large volumes of available weather data. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Samuel van Wonderen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Guowei Zhang , Tao Ren , Yifan Yang

This paper develops a data-driven approach to accurately predict the restoration time of outages under different scales and factors. To achieve the goal, the proposed method consists of three stages. First, given the unprecedented amount of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-22 Dingwei Wang , Yuxuan Yuan , Rui Cheng , Zhaoyu Wang

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

Accurately predicting short-term precipitation is critical for weather-sensitive applications such as disaster management, aviation, and urban planning. Traditional numerical weather prediction can be computationally intensive at high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Sumit Mamtani , Maitreya Sonawane

A central goal in systems biology and drug discovery is to predict the transcriptional response of cells to perturbations. This task is challenging due to the noisy and sparse nature of single-cell measurements, as well as the fact that…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-02-10 Chenglei Yu , Chuanrui Wang , Bangyan Liao , Tailin Wu