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Accurate short-range prediction of extreme air temperature events remains a fundamental challenge in operational climate-risk management. We present Multi-Modal Weather State Transition Model with Anomaly-Driven Recurrent Attention Network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed , Hakan Hakan Guneyli

Predictions in the form of probability distributions are crucial for effective decision-making. Quantile regression enables such predictions within spatial prediction settings that aim to create improved precipitation datasets by merging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

This paper considers the problem of distributed estimation in wireless sensor networks (WSN), which is anticipated to support a wide range of applications such as the environmental monitoring, weather forecasting, and location estimation.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-26 Meng He , Ran Li , Chuan Huang , Shulong Zhang

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Ensemble forecast based on physics-informed models is one of the most widely used forecast algorithms for complex turbulent systems. A major difficulty in such a method is the model error that is ubiquitous in practice. Data-driven machine…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-24 Nan Chen , Yingda Li

Capitalizing on the recent availability of ERA5 monthly averaged long-term data records of mean atmospheric and climate fields based on high-resolution reanalysis, deep-learning architectures offer an alternative to physics-based daily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Pratik Shukla , Milton Halem

Accurately describing the distribution of CO$_2$ in the atmosphere with atmospheric tracer transport models is essential for greenhouse gas monitoring and verification support systems to aid implementation of international climate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Vitus Benson , Ana Bastos , Christian Reimers , Alexander J. Winkler , Fanny Yang , Markus Reichstein

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

The acquisition of accurate rainfall distribution in space is an important task in hydrological analysis and natural disaster pre-warning. However, it is impossible to install rain gauges on every corner. Spatial interpolation is a common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Jia Li , Yanyan Shen , Lei Chen , Charles Wang Wai NG

Precise estimation of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of rolling bearings is an important consideration to avoid unexpected failures, reduce downtime, and promote safety and efficiency in industrial systems. Complications in degradation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Ali Mohajerzarrinkelk , Maryam Ahang , Mehran Zoravar , Mostafa Abbasi , Homayoun Najjaran

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

We present a method that learns to integrate temporal information, from a learned dynamics model, with ambiguous visual information, from a learned vision model, in the context of interacting agents. Our method is based on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-27 Chen Sun , Per Karlsson , Jiajun Wu , Joshua B Tenenbaum , Kevin Murphy

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have rapidly risen to prominence due to their greater accuracy and speed than traditional forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP), recently outperforming traditional ensembles in…

Graph neural networks (GNNs) model nonlinear representations in graph data with applications in distributed agent coordination, control, and planning among others. Current GNN architectures assume ideal scenarios and ignore link…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-01 Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi , Alejandro Ribeiro

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Weather forecasting is dominated by numerical weather prediction that tries to model accurately the physical properties of the atmosphere. A downside of numerical weather prediction is that it is lacking the ability for short-term forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Kevin Trebing , Tomasz Stanczyk , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Neural network (NN) ensembles can reduce large prediction variance of NN and improve prediction accuracy. For highly nonlinear problems with insufficient data set, the prediction accuracy of NN models becomes unstable, resulting in a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Ungki Lee , Namwoo Kang

The growing prevalence of inverter-based resources (IBRs) for renewable energy integration and electrification greatly challenges power system dynamic analysis. To account for both synchronous generators (SGs) and IBRs, this work presents…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-24 Shaohui Liu , Weiqian Cai , Hao Zhu , Brian Johnson