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Robustness to distribution shift and fairness have independently emerged as two important desiderata required of modern machine learning models. While these two desiderata seem related, the connection between them is often unclear in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Maggie Makar , Alexander D'Amour

Causal Machine Learning has emerged as a powerful tool for flexibly estimating causal effects from observational data in both industry and academia. However, causal inference from observational data relies on untestable assumptions about…

In causal mediation studies that decompose an average treatment effect into a natural indirect effect (NIE) and a natural direct effect (NDE), examples of post-treatment confounding are abundant. Past research has generally considered it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-26 Guanglei Hong , Fan Yang , Xu Qin

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in matched observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explore evidence for actual treatment effects among these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Mengqi Lin , Colin Fogarty

We consider the estimation of measures of model performance in a target population when covariate and outcome data are available on a sample from some source population and covariate data, but not outcome data, are available on a simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Sarah E. Robertson , Issa J. Dahabreh

Unobserved effect modifiers can induce bias when generalizing causal effect estimates to target populations. In this work, we extend a sensitivity analysis framework assessing the robustness of study results to unobserved effect…

To ensure reliable causal conclusions from observational (i.e., non-randomized) studies, researchers routinely conduct sensitivity analysis to assess robustness to hidden bias due to unmeasured confounding. In matched observational studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Siyu Heng , Elaine K. Chiu , Hyunseung Kang

Causal mediation analysis seeks to investigate how the treatment effect of an exposure on outcomes is mediated through intermediate variables. Although many applications involve longitudinal data, the existing methods are not directly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Shuxi Zeng , Stacy Rosenbaum , Elizabeth Archie , Susan Alberts , Fan Li

Group fairness metrics can detect when a deep learning model behaves differently for advantaged and disadvantaged groups, but even models that score well on these metrics can make blatantly unfair predictions. We present smooth prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-02 Ivoline C. Ngong , Krystal Maughan , Joseph P. Near

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

The ability to learn disentangled representations that split underlying sources of variation in high dimensional, unstructured data is important for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. While various approaches aiming towards…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Raphael Suter , Đorđe Miladinović , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

Researchers are often interested in learning not only the effect of treatments on outcomes, but also the pathways through which these effects operate. A mediator is a variable that is affected by treatment and subsequently affects outcome.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Jeremiah Jones , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Assessing the fairness of a decision making system with respect to a protected class, such as gender or race, is challenging when class membership labels are unavailable. Probabilistic models for predicting the protected class based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Jiahao Chen , Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Geoffry Svacha , Madeleine Udell

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) yield internally valid causal effect estimates, but generalizing these results to target populations with different characteristics requires an untestable selection ignorability assumption: conditional on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Jared D. Huling

Fairness-aware learning aims to mitigate discrimination against specific protected social groups (e.g., those categorized by gender, ethnicity, age) while minimizing predictive performance loss. Despite efforts to improve fairness in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Kewen Peng , Yicheng Yang , Hao Zhuo

Causal effect estimation from observational data is one of the essential problems in causal inference. However, most estimation methods rely on the strong assumption that all confounders are observed, which is impractical and untestable in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Yubai Yuan , Annie Qu

We introduce several methods for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding in marginal structural models; importantly we allow treatments to be discrete or continuous, static or time-varying. We consider three sensitivity models: a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij