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The paper presents a novel approach for unsupervised techniques in the field of clustering. A new method is proposed to enhance existing literature models using the proper Bayesian bootstrap to improve results in terms of robustness and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Federico Maria Quetti , Silvia Figini , Elena ballante

Researchers are often interested in linking individuals between two datasets that lack a common unique identifier. Matching procedures often struggle to match records with common names, birthplaces or other field values. Computational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Thomas Stringham

The membership inference problem for publicly released statistics from a private dataset is well-studied. When developing and formally analyzing attack strategies, however, the focus has been on attacks that model the population using only…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Lisa Oakley , Sam Stites , Cameron Moy , Steven Holtzen , Alina Oprea , Marco Gaboardi

Bayesian coresets have emerged as a promising approach for implementing scalable Bayesian inference. The Bayesian coreset problem involves selecting a (weighted) subset of the data samples, such that the posterior inference using the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Jacky Y. Zhang , Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Multiple-systems or capture-recapture estimation are common techniques for population size estimation, particularly in the quantitative study of human rights violations. These methods rely on multiple samples from the population, along with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-27 Mauricio Sadinle

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

We develop constrained Bayesian estimation methods for small area problems: those requiring smoothness with respect to similarity across areas, such as geographic proximity or clustering by covariates; and benchmarking constraints,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-28 Rebecca C. Steorts

In ecology, the description of species composition and biodiversity calls for statistical methods that involve estimating features of interest in unobserved samples based on an observed one. In the last decade, the Bayesian nonparametrics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci

Respondent-driven sampling is a form of link-tracing network sampling, which is widely used to study hard-to-reach populations, often to estimate population proportions. Previous treatments of this process have used a with-replacement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-25 Krista J. Gile

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Accurate force fields are essential for reliable molecular simulations. These models are refined against quantum mechanical calculations and experimental measurements, which are subject to random and systematic errors. Bayesian Inference of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Robert M. Raddi , Vincent A. Voelz

We introduce Bayesian hierarchical models for predicting high-dimensional tabular survey data which can be distributed from one or multiple classes of distributions (e.g., Gaussian, Poisson, Binomial, etc.). We adopt a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Saikat Nandy , Scott H. Holan , Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle

Aggregate measures of family planning are used to monitor demand for and usage of contraceptive methods in populations globally, for example as part of the FP2030 initiative. Family planning measures for low- and middle-income countries are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Chi Hyun Lee , Herbert Susmann , Leontine Alkema

In public health management there is a need to produce subnational estimates of health outcomes. Often, however, funds are not available to collect samples large enough to produce traditional survey sample estimates for each subnational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Donald Malec , Peter Müller

Bayesian aggregation lets election forecasters combine diverse sources of information, such as state polls and economic and political indicators: as in our collaboration with The Economist magazine. However, the demands of real-time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

Suppose $X_1,\dots, X_n$ is a random sample from a bounded and decreasing density $f_0$ on $[0,\infty)$. We are interested in estimating such $f_0$, with special interest in $f_0(0)$. This problem is encountered in various statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-14 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

There is increasing appetite for analysing populations of network data due to the fast-growing body of applications demanding such methods. While methods exist to provide readily interpretable summaries of heterogeneous network populations,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Anastasia Mantziou , Simon Lunagomez , Robin Mitra

In this manuscript, we discuss the substantial importance of Bayesian reasoning in Social Science research. Particularly, we focus on foundational elements to fit models under the Bayesian paradigm. We aim to offer a frame of reference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Carolina Luque , Juan Sosa

We demonstrate how data fission, a method for creating synthetic replicates from single observations, can be applied to empirical Bayes estimation. This extends recent work on empirical Bayes with multiple replicates to the classical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Dennis L. Sun

The U.S. Census Bureau provides an estimate of the true population as a supplement to the basic census numbers. This estimate is constructed from data in a post-censal survey. The overall procedure is referred to as dual system estimation.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Lawrence Brown , Zhanyun Zhao