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Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

We propose a new modeling and estimation approach to select the optimal treatment regime from different options through constructing a robust estimating equation. The method is protected against misspecification of the propensity score…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Wensheng Zhu , Yuanjia Wang

Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou

In this paper, we propose a propensity score adapted variable selection procedure to select covariates for inclusion in propensity score models, in order to eliminate confounding bias and improve statistical efficiency in observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

We provide guidance on multiple imputation of missing at random treatments in observational studies. Specifically, analysts should account for both covariates and outcomes, i.e., not just use propensity scores, when imputing the missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter

This paper presents a novel application of graph neural networks for modeling and estimating network heterogeneity. Network heterogeneity is characterized by variations in unit's decisions or outcomes that depend not only on its own…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-30 Yike Wang , Chris Gu , Taisuke Otsu

Within the field of causal inference, we consider the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from data. We propose and validate a novel approach for learning feature representations to aid the estimation of the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-23 Michael C. Burkhart , Gabriel Ruiz

Measuring treatment effects in observational studies is challenging because of confounding bias. Confounding occurs when a variable affects both the treatment and the outcome. Traditional methods such as propensity score matching estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Bevan I. Smith , Charles Chimedza

We consider the setting where many networks are observed on a common node set, and each observation comprises edge weights of a network, covariates observed at each node, and an overall response. The goal is to use the edge weights and node…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Daniel Kessler , Keith Levin , Elizaveta Levina

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Lev V. Utkin , Mikhail V. Kots , Viacheslav S. Chukanov

In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

Network models are an increasingly popular way to abstract complex psychological phenomena. While the study of the structure of network models has led to many important insights, little attention is paid to how well they predict…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-29 Jonas Haslbeck , Lourens J Waldorp

Random-effects meta-analyses are very commonly used in medical statistics. Recent methodological developments include multivariate (multiple outcomes) and network (multiple treatments) meta-analysis. Here we provide a new model and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-16 Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz , Martin Law , Richard D Riley , Ian White

In sequential causal inference, one estimates the causal net effect of treatment in treatment sequence on an outcome after last treatment in the presence of time-dependent covariates between treatments, improves the estimation by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-18 Li Yin , Xiaoqin Wang

Estimating individual-level treatment effect from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference and has attracted increasing attention in the fields of education, healthcare, and public policy.In this work, we concentrate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Hui Meng , Keping Yang , Xuyu Peng , Bo Zheng

Online mental health treatment has the premise to meet the increasing demand for mental health treatment at a lower cost than traditional treatment. However, online treatment suffers from high drop-out rates, which might negate their cost…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-13 Dennis Becker

Estimating causal effects in e-commerce tends to involve costly treatment assignments which can be impractical in large-scale settings. Leveraging machine learning to predict such treatment effects without actual intervention is a standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 George Panagopoulos , Daniele Malitesta , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jun Pang

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson