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We revisit the classic problem of aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts, also known as the Naive Bayes setting. Our quantity of interest is the error probability of the optimal decision rule. In the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-24 Aryeh Kontorovich , Ariel Avital

Imitation learning holds the promise of equipping robots with versatile skills by learning from expert demonstrations. However, policies trained on finite datasets often struggle to generalize beyond the training distribution. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Yixiao Wang

The Bayesian posterior minimizes the "inferential risk" which itself bounds the "predictive risk". This bound is tight when the likelihood and prior are well-specified. However since misspecification induces a gap, the Bayesian posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Warren R. Morningstar , Alexander A. Alemi , Joshua V. Dillon

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex systems with many variables by combining independently learned local conditional distributions through pseudo-Gibbs sampling. Despite their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We derive a tight generalization bound for quantum machine learning that is applicable to a wide range of supervised tasks, data, and models. Our bound is both efficiently computable and free of big-O notation. Furthermore, we point out…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-10-29 Xin Wang , Rebing Wu

In this paper, we consider the problem of replicable realizable PAC learning. We construct a particularly hard learning problem and show a sample complexity lower bound with a close to $(\log|H|)^{3/2}$ dependence on the size of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Kasper Green Larsen , Markus Engelund Mathiasen , Chirag Pabbaraju , Clement Svendsen

We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

This note examines the behavior of generalization capabilities - as defined by out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE) - of Linear Gaussian (with a fixed design matrix) and Linear Least Squares regression. Particularly, we consider a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Karthik Duraisamy

PAC-Bayesian bounds have proven to be a valuable tool for deriving generalization bounds and for designing new learning algorithms in machine learning. However, it typically focus on providing generalization bounds with respect to a chosen…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-19 The Tien Mai

An important yet underexplored question in the PAC-Bayes literature is how much tightness we lose by restricting the posterior family to factorized Gaussian distributions when optimizing a PAC-Bayes bound. We investigate this issue by…

We investigate the generalizability of learned binary relations: functions that map pairs of instances to a logical indicator. This problem has application in numerous areas of machine learning, such as ranking, entity resolution and link…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-04 Ben London , Bert Huang , Lise Getoor

We study PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for Multilayer Perceptrons (MLPs) with the cross entropy loss. Above all, we introduce probabilistic explanations for MLPs in two aspects: (i) MLPs formulate a family of Gibbs distributions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-18 Xinjie Lan , Xin Guo , Kenneth E. Barner

Learned systems in the domain of visual recognition and cognition impress in part because even though they are trained with datasets many orders of magnitude smaller than the full population of possible images, they exhibit sufficient…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 John K. Tsotsos , Jun Luo

We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

Understanding the source of the superior generalization ability of NNs remains one of the most important problems in ML research. There have been a series of theoretical works trying to derive non-vacuous bounds for NNs. Recently, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-07 Zifeng Wang , Shao-Lun Huang , Ercan E. Kuruoglu , Jimeng Sun , Xi Chen , Yefeng Zheng

Generalization bounds which assess the difference between the true risk and the empirical risk have been studied extensively. However, to obtain bounds, current techniques use strict assumptions such as a uniformly bounded or a Lipschitz…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Yossi Adi , Yaniv Nemcovsky , Alex Schwing , Tamir Hazan

In meta-learning an agent extracts knowledge from observed tasks, aiming to facilitate learning of novel future tasks. Under the assumption that future tasks are 'related' to previous tasks, the accumulated knowledge should be learned in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Ron Amit , Ron Meir

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

The information-theoretic framework of Russo and J. Zou (2016) and Xu and Raginsky (2017) provides bounds on the generalization error of a learning algorithm in terms of the mutual information between the algorithm's output and the training…

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