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Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

This paper is concerned with an important issue in finite mixture modelling, the selection of the number of mixing components. We propose a new penalized likelihood method for model selection of finite multivariate Gaussian mixture models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-17 Tao Huang , Heng Peng , Kun Zhang

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Finite mixture model is an important branch of clustering methods and can be applied on data sets with mixed types of variables. However, challenges exist in its applications. First, it typically relies on the EM algorithm which could be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-10 Shu Wang , Jonathan G. Yabes , Chung-Chou H. Chang

In this work, we develop a novel Bayesian estimation method for the Dirichlet process (DP) mixture of the inverted Dirichlet distributions, which has been shown to be very flexible for modeling vectors with positive elements. The recently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-04 Zhanyu Ma , Yuping Lai

Scientists and engineers are often interested in learning the number of subpopulations (or components) present in a data set. A common suggestion is to use a finite mixture model (FMM) with a prior on the number of components. Past work has…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-08 Diana Cai , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

This paper presents a new model called infinite mixtures of multivariate Gaussian processes, which can be used to learn vector-valued functions and applied to multitask learning. As an extension of the single multivariate Gaussian process,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-07-29 Shiliang Sun

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

This paper surveys some well-established approaches on the approximation of Bayes factors used in Bayesian model choice, mostly as covered in Chen et al. (2000). Our focus here is on methods that are based on importance sampling strategies…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-10-14 Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

Financial studies require volatility based models which provides useful insights on risks related to investments. Stochastic volatility models are one of the most popular approaches to model volatility in such studies. The asset returns…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Soham Mukherjee

Hierarchical parametric models consisting of observable and latent variables are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. For example, a mixture model is a representative hierarchical model for clustering. From the statistical point of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-24 Keisuke Yamazaki

The use of a finite mixture of normal distributions in model-based clustering allows to capture non-Gaussian data clusters. However, identifying the clusters from the normal components is challenging and in general either achieved by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-21 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Bettina Grün

Finite mixture models are flexible methods that are commonly used for model-based clustering. A recent focus in the model-based clustering literature is to highlight the difference between the number of components in a mixture model and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Massimo Ventrucci , Maria Franco-Villoria

This paper considers the problem of model selection within the context of finite element model updating. Given that a number of FEM updating models, with different updating parameters, can be designed, this paper proposes using the Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-10-16 Linda Mthembu , Tshilidzi Marwala , Michael I. Friswell , Sondipon Adhikari

We study Bayesian estimation of mixture models and argue in favor of fitting the marginal posterior distribution over component assignments directly, rather than Gibbs sampling from the joint posterior on components and parameters as is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-03 M. E. J. Newman

Metrics of model goodness-of-fit, model comparison, and model parameter estimation are the main categories of statistical problems in science. Bayesian and frequentist methods that address these questions often rely on a likelihood…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-06-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

In many applications, a finite mixture is a natural model, but it can be difficult to choose an appropriate number of components. To circumvent this choice, investigators are increasingly turning to Dirichlet process mixtures (DPMs), and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-03 Jeffrey W. Miller , Matthew T. Harrison

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros