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The performance of machine learning classification algorithms are evaluated by estimating metrics, often from the confusion matrix, using training data and cross-validation. However, these do not prove that the best possible performance has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-05 L. Crow , S. J. Watts

We construct optimal low-rank approximations for the Gaussian posterior distribution in linear Gaussian inverse problems with possibly infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert parameter spaces and finite-dimensional data spaces. We first…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-09 Giuseppe Carere , Han Cheng Lie

In statistical classification and machine learning, classification error is an important performance measure, which is minimized by the Bayes decision rule. In practice, the unknown true distribution is usually replaced with a model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Zijian Yang , Vahe Eminyan , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski

Recent work has attempted to directly approximate the `function-space' or predictive posterior distribution of Bayesian models, without approximating the posterior distribution over the parameters. This is appealing in e.g. Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-19 David R. Burt , Sebastian W. Ober , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk

Consider the nonparametric logistic regression problem. In the logistic regression, we usually consider the maximum likelihood estimator, and the excess risk is the expectation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-26 Atsutomo Yara , Yoshikazu Terada

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

We discuss optimal prediction for families of probability distributions with a locally compact topological group structure. Right-invariant priors were previously shown to yield a posterior predictive distribution minimizing the worst-case…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-26 Jannis Bolik , Thomas Hofmann

We propose a new PAC-Bayesian bound and a way of constructing a hypothesis space, so that the bound is convex in the posterior distribution and also convex in a trade-off parameter between empirical performance of the posterior distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-25 Niklas Thiemann , Christian Igel , Olivier Wintenberger , Yevgeny Seldin

There has been significant recent interest in quantum neural networks (QNNs), along with their applications in diverse domains. Current solutions for QNNs pose significant challenges concerning their scalability, ensuring that the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-03-24 Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

Latent variable models are crucial in scientific research, where a key variable, such as effort, ability, and belief, is unobserved in the sample but needs to be identified. This paper proposes a novel method for estimating realizations of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Yingyao Hu , Yang Liu , Jiaxiong Yao

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental equation of information theory that quantifies the proximity of two probability distributions. Although difficult to understand by examining the equation, an intuition and understanding…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-09 Jonathon Shlens

Accelerated algorithms for maximum likelihood image reconstruction are essential for emerging applications such as 3D tomography, dynamic tomographic imaging, and other high dimensional inverse problems. In this paper, we introduce and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Alfred O. Hero

In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

This paper considers the distributionally robust chance constrained Markov decision process with random reward and ambiguous reward distribution. We consider individual and joint chance constraint cases with Kullback-Leibler divergence…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-01 Tian Xia , Jia Liu , Abdel Lisser

Bayesian nonparametric statistics is an area of considerable research interest. While recently there has been an extensive concentration in developing Bayesian nonparametric procedures for model checking, the use of the Dirichlet process,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-15 Luai Al-Labadi , Viskakh Patel , Kasra Vakiloroayaei , Clement Wan

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Discretization of continuous-time diffusion processes is a widely recognized method for sampling. However, it seems to be a considerable restriction when the potentials are often required to be smooth (gradient Lipschitz). This paper…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-23 Dao Nguyen

Optimization in the Bures-Wasserstein space has been gaining popularity in the machine learning community since it draws connections between variational inference and Wasserstein gradient flows. The variational inference objective function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Hoang Phuc Hau Luu , Hanlin Yu , Bernardo Williams , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami