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Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Leonard Schulman

Inference for spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) for high-dimensional non-Gaussian spatial data is computationally intensive. The computational challenge is due to the high-dimensional random effects and because Markov chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-09 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

We study Bayesian estimation of mixture models and argue in favor of fitting the marginal posterior distribution over component assignments directly, rather than Gibbs sampling from the joint posterior on components and parameters as is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-03 M. E. J. Newman

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Probabilistic programs with mixed support (both continuous and discrete latent random variables) commonly appear in many probabilistic programming systems (PPSs). However, the existence of the discrete random variables prohibits many basic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-06 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Hongseok Yang

In large-scale genomic applications vast numbers of molecular features are scanned in order to find a small number of candidates which are linked to a particular disease or phenotype. This is a variable selection problem in the "large p,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-02-13 Manuela Zucknick , Sylvia Richardson

Bayesian statistical inverse problems are often solved with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-type schemes. When the problems are governed by large-scale discrete nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), they are computationally…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-06 Howard C. Elman , Akwum Onwunta

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

In latent variable models the parameter estimation can be implemented by using the joint or the marginal likelihood, based on independence or conditional independence assumptions. The same dilemma occurs within the Bayesian framework with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-09-18 Silia Vitoratou , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Irini Moustaki

An important aspect of Bayesian model selection is how to deal with huge model spaces, since exhaustive enumeration of all the models entertained is unfeasible and inferences have to be based on the very small proportion of models visited.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-01-25 Gonzalo Garcia-Donato , Miguel Angel Martinez-Beneito

We propose a novel Bayesian inference framework for distributed differentially private linear regression. We consider a distributed setting where multiple parties hold parts of the data and share certain summary statistics of their portions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Barış Alparslan , Sinan Yıldırım , Ş. İlker Birbil

The fully marginalized likelihood, or Bayesian evidence, is of great importance in probabilistic data analysis, because it is involved in calculating the posterior probability of a model or re-weighting a mixture of models conditioned on…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-01-30 Fengji Hou , Jonathan Goodman , David W. Hogg

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

We consider estimating the marginal likelihood in settings with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data. We propose estimating the predictive distributions in a sequential factorization of the marginal likelihood in such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Scott A. Cameron , Hans C. Eggers , Steve Kroon

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

Kernel methods have revolutionized the fields of pattern recognition and machine learning. Their success, however, critically depends on the choice of kernel parameters. Using Gaussian process (GP) classification as a working example, this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Maurizio Filippone