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Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are instrumental in modelling sequential and time-series data. Yet, when using RNNs to inform decision-making, predictions by themselves are not sufficient; we also need estimates of predictive uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Clinical prognostic models help inform decision-making by estimating a patient's risk of experiencing an outcome in the future. The net benefit is increasingly being used to assess the clinical utility of models. By calculating an…

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

This correspondence studies the basic problem of classifications - how to evaluate different classifiers. Although the conventional performance indexes, such as accuracy, are commonly used in classifier selection or evaluation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-11-26 Yong Wang , Bao-Gang Hu

Neural networks have received a lot of attention recently, and related security issues have come with it. Many studies have shown that neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples that have been artificially perturbed with…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Shi Pu , Fu Song , Wenjie Wang

Many studies that gather social network data use survey methods that lead to censored, missing or otherwise incomplete information. For example, the popular fixed rank nomination (FRN) scheme, often used in studies of schools and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-27 Peter Hoff , Bailey Fosdick , Alex Volfovsky , Katherine Stovel

On the one hand, there has been considerable progress on neural network verification in recent years, which makes certifying neural networks a possibility. On the other hand, neural networks in practice are often re-trained over time to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Long H. Pham , Jun Sun

Estimating the strength of dependency between two variables is fundamental for exploratory analysis and many other applications in data mining. For example: non-linear dependencies between two continuous variables can be explored with the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-21 Simone Romano , Nguyen Xuan Vinh , James Bailey , Karin Verspoor

Influence analysis is a fundamental problem in social network analysis and mining. The important applications of the influence analysis in social network include influence maximization for viral marketing, finding the most influential…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-07-05 Rong-Hua Li , Jeffrey Xu Yu , Zechao Shang

In clinical prediction modeling, model updating refers to the practice of modifying a prediction model before it is used in a new setting. In the context of logistic regression for a binary outcome, one of the simplest updating methods is a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Hamid Tavakoli , Abdollah Safari

The problem of corrupted data, missing features, or missing modalities continues to plague the modern machine learning landscape. To address this issue, a class of regularization methods that enforce consistency between imputed and fully…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Yinsong Wang , Shahin Shahrampour

Lack of reliability is a well-known issue for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. This problem has gained increasing attention in recent years, and efforts to improve it have grown substantially. To aid RL researchers and production…

In healthcare applications, predictive uncertainty has been used to assess predictive accuracy. In this paper, we demonstrate that predictive uncertainty estimated by the current methods does not highly correlate with prediction error by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Shi Hu , Nicola Pezzotti , Max Welling

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are commonly applied to clinical time-series data with the goal of learning patient risk stratification models. Their effectiveness is due, in part, to their use of parameter sharing over time (i.e., cells…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-03 Jeeheh Oh , Jiaxuan Wang , Shengpu Tang , Michael Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the estimation bias when handling the ever-increasing data size and model complexity of modern data settings. In this paper, we propose a reliable estimation and inference…

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

Transfer learning is a key component of modern machine learning, enhancing the performance of target tasks by leveraging diverse data sources. Simultaneously, overparameterized models such as the minimum-$\ell_2$-norm interpolator (MNI) in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Yeichan Kim , Ilmun Kim , Seyoung Park

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

Recent advance in deep learning has led to the rapid adoption of machine learning-based NLP models in a wide range of applications. Despite the continuous gain in accuracy, backward compatibility is also an important aspect for industrial…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Deng Cai , Elman Mansimov , Yi-An Lai , Yixuan Su , Lei Shu , Yi Zhang

Ranking models, i.e., coarse-ranking and fine-ranking models, serve as core components in large-scale recommendation systems, responsible for scoring massive item candidates based on user preferences. To meet the stringent latency…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Yusheng Huang , Pengbo Xu , Shen Wang , Changxin Lao , Jiangxia Cao , Shuang Wen , Shuang Yang , Zhaojie Liu , Han Li , Kun Gai