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Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

This paper develops an efficient implementation of the ensemble Kalman filter based on a modified Cholesky decomposition for inverse covariance matrix estimation. This implementation is named EnKF-MC. Background errors corresponding to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-31 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu , Xinwei Deng

We propose an ensemble score filter (EnSF) for solving high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems with superior accuracy. A major drawback of existing filtering methods, e.g., particle filters or ensemble Kalman filters, is the low…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) (Evensen, 2009) has proven effective in quantifying uncertainty in a number of challenging dynamic, state estimation, or data assimilation, problems such as weather forecasting and ocean modeling. In these…

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

In this paper, the ensemble consider Kalman filter is proposed to mitigate the negative effects of uncertain parameters in nonlinear dynamic and measurement models. The ensemble Kalman filter can avoid using the Jacobian matrices and reduce…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-18 Tai-shan Lou , Nan-hua Chen , Hua Xiong , Ya-xi Li , Lei Wang

We consider the nonlinear Kalman filtering problem using Kullback-Leibler (KL) and $\alpha$-divergence measures as optimization criteria. Unlike linear Kalman filters, nonlinear Kalman filters do not have closed form Gaussian posteriors…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-22 San Gultekin , John Paisley

We propose a regularization method for ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) with elliptic observation operators. Commonly used EnKF regularization methods suppress state correlations at long distances. For observations described by elliptic…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-04-24 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Jeff D. Eldredge

We introduce a new multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) which consists of a hierarchy of independent samples of ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF). This new MLEnKF method is fundamentally different from the preexisting method…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-22 Håkon Hoel , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raúl Tempone

Ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and the ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) are widely used in sequential data assimilation, where state vectors are of huge…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-03 El houcine Bergou , Serge Gratton , Jan Mandel

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, but its performance often deteriorates for strongly nonlinear dynamics due to the structural mismatch between the Kalman update and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Xin T. Tong , Yanyan Wang , Liang Yan

In this article, we propose a new filtering algorithm based in the Koopman operator, showing that a nonlinear filtering problem can be seen as an equivalent problem where the dynamics is infinite dimensional, but linear. Using Extended…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-07 Diego Olguín , Axel Osses , Héctor Ramírez

In many physical applications, the system's state varies with spatial variables as well as time. The state of such systems is modelled by partial differential equations and evolves on an infinite-dimensional space. Systems modelled by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-02-17 Sepideh Afshar , Fabian Germ , Kirsten A. Morris

We present a novel algorithm based on the ensemble Kalman filter to solve inverse problems involving multiscale elliptic partial differential equations. Our method is based on numerical homogenization and finite element discretization and…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-12-16 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) is a popular technique for data assimilation, with far ranging applications. However, the vanilla EnKF framework is not well-defined when perturbations are nonlinear. We study two non-linear extensions of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Zachariah Malik , Romit Maulik

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for nonlinear and high-dimensional state estimation because it replaces complex covariance propagation with simple ensemble statistics. However, conventional EnKF implementations can become…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Shida Jiang , Shengyu Tao , Zihe Liu , Scott Moura

In this paper, stochastic optimal control problems in continuous time and space are considered. In recent years, such problems have received renewed attention from the lens of reinforcement learning (RL) which is also one of our motivation.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Anant A. Joshi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

This paper considers the problem of data-driven robust control design for nonlinear systems, for instance, obtained when discretizing nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). A robust learning control approach is developed for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-01 Anant A. Joshi , Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has been widely used in state estimation and parameter estimation for the dynamic system where observational data is obtained sequentially in time. To reduce uncertainty and accelerate posterior inference, a…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-14 Yuming Ba , Lijian Jiang , Na Ou