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相关论文: Electricity Price Forecasting: The Dawn of Machine…

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A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

Solving the optimal power flow (OPF) problem in real-time electricity market improves the efficiency and reliability in the integration of low-carbon energy resources into the power grids. To address the scalability and adaptivity issues of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Shaohui Liu , Chengyang Wu , Hao Zhu

This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk management. We classify these models according to their…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-30 Thomas Deschatre , Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet

Electric load forecasting is essential for power management and stability in smart grids. This is mainly achieved via advanced metering infrastructure, where smart meters (SMs) record household energy data. Traditional machine learning (ML)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Ratun Rahman , Pablo Moriano , Samee U. Khan , Dinh C. Nguyen

We address the need for forecasting methodologies that handle large uncertainties in electricity prices for continuous intraday markets by incorporating parameter uncertainty and using a broad set of covariables. This study presents the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Daniel Nickelsen , Gernot Müller

Electricity price forecasting approaches generally fall into two categories: data-driven models, which learn from historical patterns, or fundamental models, which simulate market mechanisms. We propose a novel and highly efficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Probabilistic price forecasting has recently gained attention in power trading because decisions based on such predictions can yield significantly higher profits than those made with point forecasts alone. At the same time, methods are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-30 Weronika Nitka , Rafał Weron

Electric load forecasting is essential for power management and stability in smart grids. This is mainly achieved via advanced metering infrastructure, where smart meters (SMs) are used to record household energy consumption. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Ratun Rahman , Neeraj Kumar , Dinh C. Nguyen

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

In electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP) forecasting is particularly important for market participants in making reasonable bidding strategies, managing potential trading risks, and supporting efficient system planning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Yuyun Yang , Zhenfei Tan , Haitao Yang , Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong

The availability of accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasts is pivotal for electricity market participants. In the context of trade liberalisation and market harmonisation in the European markets, accurate price forecasting becomes…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-20 Wei Li , Denis Mike Becker

Renewable electricity generation has grown significantly across many European power systems, leading to a greener energy mix, but also additional complexity in balancing electricity supply and demand. Unexpected differences between…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Arnaud Verstraeten , Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Hussain Kazmi

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

Accurate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices is critical for market participants to inform trading decisions. Existing studies rely on specific domain features, such as Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and the last…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Runyao Yu , Ruochen Wu , Yongsheng Han , Jochen L. Cremer