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While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

Stochastic programming is widely used for energy system design optimization under uncertainty but can exponentially increase the computational complexity with the number of scenarios. Common scenario reduction techniques, like…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-14 Boyung Jürgens , Hagen Seele , Hendrik Schricker , Christiane Reinert , Niklas von der Assen

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Postprocessing ensemble weather predictions to correct systematic errors has become a standard practice in research and operations. However, only few recent studies have focused on ensemble postprocessing of wind gust forecasts, despite its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-14 Benedikt Schulz , Sebastian Lerch

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

Machine learning (ML) continues to grow in importance across nearly all domains and is a natural tool in modeling to learn from data. Often a tradeoff exists between a model's ability to minimize bias and variance. In this paper, we utilize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-16 Xingfu Wu , Valerie Taylor

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

This work presents a nonlinear system identification framework for modeling the power extraction dynamics of wind turbines, including both freestream and waked conditions. The approach models turbine dynamics using data-driven power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-10 Sebastiano Randino , Lorenzo Schena , Nicolas Coudou , Emanuele Garone , Miguel Alfonso Mendez

To address the environmental concern and improve the economic efficiency, the wind power is rapidly integrated into smart grids. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind energy raises operational challenges. To ensure the cost-efficient,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Yuan Yi , Zhi Zhou , Keqi Wang

Since the start of the operational use of ensemble prediction systems, ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting has become the most advanced approach in weather prediction. However, despite the persistent development of the last three…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

In tropical countries with high humidity, air conditioning can account for up to 60% of a building's energy use. For commercial buildings with centralized systems, the efficiency of the chiller plant is vital, and model predictive control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-25 Zhan Wang , Chen Weidong , Huang Zhifeng , Md Raisul Islam , Chua Kian Jon

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Yun Seon Kim , Hyebong Choi , Jaeyoung Lee , SongHee You

Power plant is a complex and nonstationary system for which the traditional machine learning modeling approaches fall short of expectations. The ensemble-based online learning methods provide an effective way to continuously learn from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-23 Rui Xu , Yunwen Xu , Weizhong Yan

Partially recorded data are frequently encountered in many applications and usually clustered by first removing incomplete cases or features with missing values, or by imputing missing values, followed by application of a clustering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Emily M. Goren , Ranjan Maitra

The task of simplifying the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling is of utmost importance and comes with significant challenges. In this research, our primary objective is to tailor clustering techniques to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Alexis Boulin , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Gwladys Toulemonde

Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-19 Ruiguo Yu , Zhiqiang Liu , Xuewei Li , Wenhuan Lu , Mei Yu , Jianrong Wang , Bin Li

The contribution of this work is twofold: (1) We introduce a collection of ensemble methods for time series forecasting to combine predictions from base models. We demonstrate insights on the power of ensemble learning for forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-26 Julia Gastinger , Sébastien Nicolas , Dušica Stepić , Mischa Schmidt , Anett Schülke

Load shapes derived from smart meter data are frequently employed to analyze daily energy consumption patterns, particularly in the context of applications like Demand Response (DR). Nevertheless, one of the most important challenges to…