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Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

The problem of nowcasting extreme weather events can be addressed by applying either numerical methods for the solution of dynamic model equations or data-driven artificial intelligence algorithms. Within this latter framework, the present…

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Accurate precipitation estimates at individual locations are crucial for weather forecasting and spatial analysis. This study presents a paradigm shift by leveraging Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to surpass traditional methods like Kriging…

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models require ever-growing computing time/resources, but still, have difficulties with predicting weather extremes. Here we introduce a data-driven framework that is based on analog forecasting…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Pedram Hassanzadeh

The problem of classifying turbulent environments from partial observation is key for some theoretical and applied fields, from engineering to earth observation and astrophysics, e.g. to precondition searching of optimal control policies in…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-10-19 Michele Buzzicotti , Fabio Bonaccorso

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become remarkably successful in data prediction, and have even been used to predict future actions based on limited input. This raises the question: do these systems actually "understand" the event similar…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Hoe Sung Ryu , Uijong Ju , Christian Wallraven

This paper introduces a new methodology for extreme spatial dependence structure selection. It is based on deep learning techniques, specifically Convolutional Neural Networks -CNNs. Two schemes are considered: in the first scheme, the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-23 Manaf Ahmed , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Deep Learning has received increased attention due to its unbeatable success in many fields, such as computer vision, natural language processing, recommendation systems, and most recently in simulating multiphysics problems and predicting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Zakaria Elabid , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Event detection in time series is a challenging task due to the prevalence of imbalanced datasets, rare events, and time interval-defined events. Traditional supervised deep learning methods primarily employ binary classification, where…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Menouar Azib , Benjamin Renard , Philippe Garnier , Vincent Génot , Nicolas André

Climate change is expected to intensify and increase extreme events in the weather cycle. Since this has a significant impact on various sectors of our life, recent works are concerned with identifying and predicting such extreme events…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-30 Mohamad Hakam Shams Eddin , Ribana Roscher , Juergen Gall

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Deep learning architectures such as convolutional neural networks are the standard in computer vision for image processing tasks. Their accuracy however often comes at the cost of long and computationally expensive training, the need for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-31 Mattia Pugliatti , Francesco Topputo

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Mitchell L. Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and intensity are expected to worsen significantly.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-24 Antoine Blanchard , Nishant Parashar , Boyko Dodov , Christian Lessig , Themistoklis Sapsis