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We apply causal forests to a dataset derived from the National Study of Learning Mindsets, and consider resulting practical and conceptual challenges. In particular, we discuss how causal forests use estimated propensity scores to be more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-21 Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

There has been widespread use of causal inference methods for the rigorous analysis of observational studies and to identify policy evaluations. In this article, we consider a class of generalized coarsened procedures for confounding. At a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Debashis Ghosh , Lei Wang

Heterogeneity in efficacy is sometimes observed across baskets in basket trials. In this study, we propose a model-free clustering framework that groups baskets based on transition probabilities derived from the trajectories of treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Masahiro Kojima , Keisuke Hanada , Atsuya Sato

Most causal inference methods focus on estimating marginal average treatment effects, but many important causal estimands depend on the joint distribution of potential outcomes, including the probability of causation and proportions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Zach Shahn , David Madigan

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

Win statistics have become increasingly popular for analyzing hierarchical composite endpoints in clinical trials, because they summarize treatment benefit through pairwise comparisons that respect the clinical importance order among…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Xi Fang , Guangyu Tong , Yuan Huang , F. Perry Wilson , Patrick J. Heagerty , Fan Li

This paper studies analytic inference along two dimensions of clustering. In such setups, the commonly used approach has two drawbacks. First, the corresponding variance estimator is not necessarily positive. Second, inference is invalid in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-20 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

I introduce a simple permutation procedure to test conventional (non-sharp) hypotheses about the effect of a binary treatment in the presence of a finite number of large, heterogeneous clusters when the treatment effect is identified by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Andreas Hagemann

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Survey data are often collected under multistage sampling designs where units are binned to clusters that are sampled in a first stage. The unit-indexed population variables of interest are typically dependent within cluster. We propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

We apply ideas from the cluster method to q-count the permutations of a multiset according to the number of occurrences of certain generalized patterns, as defined by Babson and Steingrimsson. In particular, we consider those patterns with…

组合数学 · 数学 2009-06-01 Andrew M. Baxter

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

In the analysis of cluster data, the regression coefficients are frequently assumed to be the same across all clusters. This hampers the ability to study the varying impacts of factors on each cluster. In this paper, a semiparametric model…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-25 Wenyang Zhang , Jianqing Fan , Yan Sun

Whenever possible, the efficacy of a new treatment, such as a drug or behavioral intervention, is investigated by randomly assigning some individuals to a treatment condition and others to a control condition, and comparing the outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-04 Patrick C. Staples , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We consider learning personalized assignments to one of many treatment arms from a randomized controlled trial. Standard methods that estimate heterogeneous treatment effects separately for each arm may perform poorly in this case due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Rahul Ladhania , Jann Spiess , Lyle Ungar , Wenbo Wu

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras