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Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Regression methods dominate the practice of biostatistical analysis, but biostatistical training emphasises the details of regression models and methods ahead of the purposes for which such modelling might be useful. More broadly,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 John B. Carlin , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

In statistics and machine learning, detecting dependencies in datasets is a central challenge. We propose a novel neural network model for supervised graph structure learning, i.e., the process of learning a mapping between observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Philipp Froehlich , Heinz Koeppl

Introduction: Logistic regression (LR)-type model limitations for causal inference are explained theoretically and empirically through the lens of the purported gateway effect from e-cigarette use to smoking. Previous studies have reported…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Floe Foxon , Raymond Niaura

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

Randomized controlled trials play an important role in how Internet companies predict the impact of policy decisions and product changes. In these `digital experiments', different units (people, devices, products) respond differently to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Matt Taddy , Matt Gardner , Liyun Chen , David Draper

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) are an important class of cognitive models used to analyze both response time and response choice data recorded from decision-making tasks. Developments in estimation procedures have helped EAMs become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Viet Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

High-dimensional categorical data arise in diverse scientific domains and are often accompanied by covariates. Latent class regression models are routinely used in such settings, reducing dimensionality by assuming conditional independence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Yuren Zhou , Yuqi Gu , David B. Dunson

In longitudinal observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, a common objective in causal analysis is to estimate the causal survival curve under hypothetical intervention scenarios. The g-formula is a useful tool for this analysis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Xinyuan Chen , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Ideally, any statistical inference should be robust to local influences. Although there are simple ways to check about leverage points in independent and linear problems, more complex models require more sophisticated methods.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Ian M Danilevicz , Ricardo S Ehlers

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

Modern regression applications can involve hundreds or thousands of variables which motivates the use of variable selection methods. Bayesian variable selection defines a posterior distribution on the possible subsets of the variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-16 J. E. Griffin

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Uri Shalit , Joris Mooij , David Sontag , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

In the fight against hard-to-treat diseases such as cancer, it is often difficult to discover new treatments that benefit all subjects. For regulatory agency approval, it is more practical to identify subgroups of subjects for whom the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-09 Wei-Yin Loh , Xu He , Michael Man

In recent years there has been significant progress in algorithms and methods for inducing Bayesian networks from data. However, in complex data analysis problems, we need to go beyond being satisfied with inducing networks with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt , Abraham Wyner

We propose a tree-based algorithm for classification and regression problems in the context of functional data analysis, which allows to leverage representation learning and multiple splitting rules at the node level, reducing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem with applications spanning various areas in science and engineering. It is well understood that solely using observational data, one can only orient the causal graph up to its Markov equivalence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

Alcohol Use Disorder (AUD) treatment presents high individual-level heterogeneity, with outcomes ranging from complete abstinence to persistent heavy drinking. This variability-driven by complex behavioral, social, and environmental…