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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), also known as particle filters, has been widely accepted as a powerful computational tool for making inference with dynamical systems. A key step in SMC is resampling, which plays the role of steering the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Yichao Li , Wenshuo Wang , Ke Deng , Jun S Liu

Coarsened exact matching (CEM) is often promoted as a superior alternative to propensity score matching (PSM) for addressing imbalance, model dependence, bias, and efficiency. However, this recommendation remains uncertain. First, CEM is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Fei Wan

To balance the quality and inference cost of a Foundation Model (FM, such as large language models (LLMs)) powered software, people often opt to train a routing model that routes requests to FMs with different sizes and capabilities.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Kirill Vasilevski , Dayi Lin , Ahmed E. Hassan

Complete randomization balances covariates on average, but covariate imbalance often exists in finite samples. Rerandomization can ensure covariate balance in the realized experiment by discarding the undesired treatment assignments. Many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Xin Lu , Tianle Liu , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

By driving models to converge to flat minima, sharpness-aware learning algorithms (such as SAM) have shown the power to achieve state-of-the-art performances. However, these algorithms will generally incur one extra forward-backward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Yang Zhao , Hao Zhang , Xiuyuan Hu

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

Fine-tuning Large Language Models (LLMs) on specific datasets is a common practice to improve performance on target tasks. However, this performance gain often leads to overfitting, where the model becomes too specialized in either the task…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Sonam Gupta , Yatin Nandwani , Asaf Yehudai , Mayank Mishra , Gaurav Pandey , Dinesh Raghu , Sachindra Joshi

Reward-based fine-tuning steers a pretrained diffusion or flow-based generative model toward higher-reward samples while remaining close to the pretrained model. Although existing methods are derived from different perspectives, we show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Jeongjae Lee , Jinho Chang , Jeongsol Kim , Jong Chul Ye

Adaptive interventions (AIs) are increasingly becoming popular in medical and behavioral sciences. An AI is a sequence of individualized intervention options that specify for whom and under what conditions different intervention options…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Palash Ghosh , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Bonnie Spring , Bibhas Chakraborty

The rapid finding of effective therapeutics requires the efficient use of available resources in clinical trials. The use of covariate adjustment can yield statistical estimates with improved precision, resulting in a reduction in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Nicholas Williams , Michael Rosenblum , Iván Díaz

Response-Adaptive Randomization (RAR) is part of a wider class of data-dependent sampling algorithms, for which clinical trials are typically used as a motivating application. In that context, patient allocation to treatments is determined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-09 David S. Robertson , Kim May Lee , Boryana C. Lopez-Kolkovska , Sofia S. Villar

Cluster-weighted models (CWMs) extend finite mixtures of regressions (FMRs) in order to allow the distribution of covariates to contribute to the clustering process. In a matrix-variate framework, the matrix-variate normal CWM has been…

Background: It has long been advised to account for baseline covariates in the analysis of confirmatory randomised trials, with the main statistical justifications being that this increases power and, when a randomisation scheme balanced…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Tim P. Morris , A. Sarah Walker , Elizabeth J. Williamson , Ian R. White

A sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) facilitates comparison of multiple adaptive treatment strategies (ATSs) simultaneously. Previous studies have established a framework to test the homogeneity of multiple ATSs by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Liwen Wu , Junyao Wang , Abdus S. Wahed

The survey experiment is widely used in economics and social sciences to evaluate the effects of treatments or programs. In a standard population-based survey experiment, the experimenter randomly draws experimental units from a target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Pengfei Tian , Jiyang Ren , Yingying Ma

The first step towards investigating the effectiveness of a treatment via a randomized trial is to split the population into control and treatment groups then compare the average response of the treatment group receiving the treatment to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-30 Hossein Babaei , Sina Alemohammad , Richard Baraniuk

Hyperparameter tuning is one of the the most time-consuming parts in machine learning. Despite the existence of modern optimization algorithms that minimize the number of evaluations needed, evaluations of a single setting may still be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-27 Philip Buczak , Andreas Groll , Markus Pauly , Jakob Rehof , Daniel Horn

Covariate adjustment is desired by both practitioners and regulators of randomized clinical trials because it improves precision for estimating treatment effects. However, covariate adjustment presents a particular challenge in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Yunfan Li , Jessica L. Ross , Aaron M. Smith , David P. Miller

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning