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This article investigates stochastic epidemic models with partial information and addresses the estimation of current values of not directly observable states. The latter is also called nowcasting and related to the so-called "dark figure"…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-03 Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Ralf Wunderlich

Bayesian networks are a versatile and powerful tool to model complex phenomena and the interplay of their components in a probabilistically principled way. Moving beyond the comparatively simple case of completely observed, static data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Marco Scutari

Enterprise software systems are increasingly integrating with diverse services to meet expanding business demands. Testing these highly interconnected systems presents a challenge due to the need for access to the connected services.…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Md Arafat Hossain , Jun Han , Muhammad Ashad Kabir , Steve Versteeg , Jean-Guy Schneider , Jiaojiao Jiang

Services are flourishing drastically both on the Internet and in the real world. Additionally, services have become much more interconnected to facilitate transboundary business collaboration to create and deliver distinct new values to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-04-23 Mingyi Liu , Zhiying Tu , Xiaofei Xu , Zhongjie Wang

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

The enhanced Bayesian network (eBN) methodology described in the companion paper facilitates the assessment of reliability and risk of engineering systems when information about the system evolves in time. We present the application of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

Decision making via sequence modeling aims to mimic the success of language models, where actions taken by an embodied agent are modeled as tokens to predict. Despite their promising performance, it remains unclear if embodied sequence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-08 Tian Yun , Zilai Zeng , Kunal Handa , Ashish V. Thapliyal , Bo Pang , Ellie Pavlick , Chen Sun

With the increasing complexity of collaboration among various social entities and user demands, the factors affecting the stable development of the data service market are also growing. These factors include the widespread dissemination of…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Deyu Zhou , Yuwei Guo , Xudong Lu , Linhao Zhang , Wei Guo , Lizhen Cui

Accounting for the complexity of psychological theories requires methods that can predict not only changes in the means of latent variables -- such as personality factors, creativity, or intelligence -- but also changes in their variances.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Luna Fazio , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Non-Bayesian social learning is a framework for distributed hypothesis testing aimed at learning the true state of the environment. Traditionally, the agents are assumed to receive observations conditioned on the same true state, although…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-06-26 Valentina Shumovskaia , Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

It is often desirable to assess how well a given dataset is described by a given model. In network science, for instance, one often wants to say that a given real-world network appears to come from a particular network model. In statistical…

Bitcoin is the first implementation of what has become known as a 'public permissionless' blockchain. Guaranteeing security and protocol conformity through its elegant combination of cryptographic assurances and game theoretic economic…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 D. McGinn , D McIlwraith , Y. Guo

As artificial neural networks, and specifically large language models, have improved rapidly in capabilities and quality, they have increasingly been deployed in real-world applications, from customer service to Google search, despite the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Eugenia Iofinova , Dan Alistarh

Labelled networks are an important class of data, naturally appearing in numerous applications in science and engineering. A typical inference goal is to determine how the vertex labels (or features) affect the network's structure. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Lawrence Tray , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

The widespread adoption of online randomized controlled experiments (A/B Tests) for decision-making has created ongoing capacity constraints which necessitate interim analyses. As a consequence, platform users are increasingly motivated to…

Understanding the structure of weighted signed networks is essential for analysing social systems in which relationships vary both in sign and strength. Despite significant advances in statistical network analysis, there is still a lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

As the number of decentralized applications and users on Ethereum grows, the ability of the blockchain to efficiently handle a growing number of transactions becomes increasingly strained. Ethereums current execution model relies heavily on…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Souradeep Das , Konpat Preechakul , Jonas Bäumer , Riddhi Patel , Jefferson Jinchuan Li

Scalability is a common issue among the most used permissionless blockchains, and several approaches have been proposed to solve this issue. Tackling scalability while preserving the security and decentralization of the network is a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Mikel Cortes-Goicoechea , Tarun Mohandas-Daryanani , Jose L. Muñoz-Tapia , Leonardo Bautista-Gomez

The paper presents an explicit state-based modeling approach aimed at modeling Systems of Systems behavior. The approach allows to specify and verify incrementally safety and liveness rules without using model checking techniques. The…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2013-11-15 Luca Pazzi

Machine learning systems are increasingly being used to make impactful decisions such as loan applications and criminal justice risk assessments, and as such, ensuring fairness of these systems is critical. This is often challenging as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 YooJung Choi , Meihua Dang , Guy Van den Broeck
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