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The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

Host load prediction is the basic decision information for managing the computing resources usage on the cloud platform, its accuracy is critical for achieving the servicelevel agreement. Host load data in cloud environment is more high…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-31 Hengheng Shen , Xuehai Hong

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

This paper addresses the challenges of mining latent patterns and modeling contextual dependencies in complex sequence data. A sequence pattern mining algorithm is proposed by integrating Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Tao Yang , Yu Cheng , Yaokun Ren , Yujia Lou , Minggu Wei , Honghui Xin

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) infers the long term dependency through a cell state maintained by the input and the forget gate structures, which models a gate output as a value in [0,1] through a sigmoid function. However, due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Kyungwoo Song , JoonHo Jang , Seung jae Shin , Il-Chul Moon

We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

Solar energy is a clean and renewable energy. Photovoltaic (PV) power is an important way to utilize solar energy. Accurate PV power forecast is crucial to the large-scale application of PV power and the stability of electricity grid. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Mingliang Bai , Xinyu Zhao , Zhenhua Long , Jinfu Liu , Daren Yu

This paper proposes to use a rather new modelling approach in the realm of solar radiation forecasting. In this work, two forecasting models: Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Neural Network (NN) models are combined to form a model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-03-27 Philippe Lauret , Auline Rodler , Marc Muselli , Mathieu David , Hadja Diagne , Cyril Voyant

The research related to digital twins has been increasing in recent years. Besides the mirroring of the physical word into the digital, there is the need of providing services related to the data collected and transferred to the virtual…

Multi-step prediction is considered of major significance for time series analysis in many real life problems. Existing methods mainly focus on one-step-ahead forecasting, since multiple step forecasting generally fails due to accumulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Bashar Alhnaity , Stefanos Kollias , Georgios Leontidis , Shouyong Jiang , Bert Schamp , Simon Pearson

A deep learning network, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network, is used in this work to predict whether the maximum flare class an active region (AR) will produce in the next 24 hours is class $\Gamma$. We considered $\Gamma$ are $\ge M$,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 Xiantong Wang , Yang Chen , Gabor Toth , Ward B. Manchester , Tamas I. Gombosi , Alfred O. Hero , Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Meng Jin , Yang Liu

New micro-grid design with renewable energy sources and battery storage systems can help improve greenhouse gas emissions and reduce the operational cost. To provide an effective short-/long-term forecasting of both energy generation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Jiangjiao Xu , Ke Li

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Electric consumption prediction methods are investigated for many reasons such as decision-making related to energy efficiency as well as for anticipating demand in the energy market dynamics. The objective of the present work is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-20 Davi Guimarães da Silva , Anderson Alvarenga de Moura Meneses

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation with fine temporal and spatial resolution is vital for the operation of the power grid. However, state-of-the-art approaches that combine machine learning with numerical weather predictions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Jelena Simeunović , Baptiste Schubnel , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL) framework for 48-hour forecasting of temperature, solar irradiance, and relative humidity to support Model Predictive Control (MPC) in smart HVAC systems. The approach employs a stacked Bidirectional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Georgios Vamvouras , Konstantinos Braimakis , Christos Tzivanidis

We present a new probabilistic method for detecting, deblending, and cataloging astronomical sources called the Bayesian Light Source Separator (BLISS). BLISS is based on deep generative models, which embed neural networks within a Bayesian…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-07-13 Derek Hansen , Ismael Mendoza , Runjing Liu , Ziteng Pang , Zhe Zhao , Camille Avestruz , Jeffrey Regier

Score matching (SM) provides a compelling approach to learn energy-based models (EBMs) by avoiding the calculation of partition function. However, it remains largely open to learn energy-based latent variable models (EBLVMs), except some…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Fan Bao , Chongxuan Li , Kun Xu , Hang Su , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling from a posterior distribution corresponding to a massive data set can be computationally prohibitive since producing one sample requires a number of operations that is linear in the data size. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-03 Reihaneh Entezari , Radu V. Craiu , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal