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This paper describes a forward algorithm and an adjoint algorithm for computing sensitivity derivatives in chaotic dynamical systems, such as the Lorenz attractor. The algorithms compute the derivative of long time averaged "statistical"…

计算物理 · 物理学 2013-10-25 Qiqi Wang

This paper presents a novel learning-based trajectory planning framework for quadrotors that combines model-based optimization techniques with deep learning. Specifically, we formulate the trajectory optimization problem as a quadratic…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Yuwei Wu , Xiatao Sun , Igor Spasojevic , Vijay Kumar

Making accurate motion prediction of surrounding agents such as pedestrians and vehicles is a critical task when robots are trying to perform autonomous navigation tasks. Recent research on multi-modal trajectory prediction, including…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 YingQiao Wang

In chaotic dynamical systems such as the weather, prediction errors grow faster in some situations than in others. Real-time knowledge about the error growth could enable strategies to adjust the modelling and forecasting infrastructure…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-04-26 Daniel Ayers , Jack Lau , Javier Amezcua , Alberto Carrassi , Varun Ojha

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Reinforcement learning-based path planning for multi-agent systems of varying size constitutes a research topic with increasing significance as progress in domains such as urban air mobility and autonomous aerial vehicles continues.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Marc R. Schlichting , Stefan Notter , Walter Fichter

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand

The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network based data association algorithm named as DeepDA for multi-target tracking in clutters is proposed to deal with the NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem in this paper. Different from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-29 Huajun Liu , Hui Zhang , Christoph Mertz

This paper reports on a data-driven, interaction-aware motion prediction approach for pedestrians in environments cluttered with static obstacles. When navigating in such workspaces shared with humans, robots need accurate motion…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Mark Pfeiffer , Giuseppe Paolo , Hannes Sommer , Juan Nieto , Roland Siegwart , Cesar Cadena

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

Learning long-term behaviors in chaotic dynamical systems, such as turbulent flows and climate modelling, is challenging due to their inherent instability and unpredictability. These systems exhibit positive Lyapunov exponents, which…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-02 Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiao Xue , Sibo Cheng , Daniel Giles , Xiaohang Tang , Yukun Hu

In this study, we investigate the effect of reservoir computing training data on the reconstruction of chaotic dynamics. Our findings indicate that a training time series comprising a few periodic orbits of low periods can successfully…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-07-10 Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Replicating chaotic characteristics of non-linear dynamics by machine learning (ML) has recently drawn wide attentions. In this work, we propose that a ML model, trained to predict the state one-step-ahead from several latest historic…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Sheng-Chen Bai , Shi-Ju Ran

A common problem in time series analysis is to predict dynamics with only scalar or partial observations of the underlying dynamical system. For data on a smooth compact manifold, Takens theorem proves a time delayed embedding of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Charles D. Young , Michael D. Graham

The unprecedented increase of commercial airlines and private jets over the next ten years presents a challenge for air traffic control. Precise flight trajectory prediction is of great significance in air transportation management, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-18 Kai Zhang , Bowen Chen

The project aims to research on combining deep learning specifically Long-Short Memory (LSTM) and basic statistics in multiple multistep time series prediction. LSTM can dive into all the pages and learn the general trends of variation in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Chuanyun Zang