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With recent advances in the field of machine learning, the use of deep neural networks for time series forecasting has become more prevalent. The quasi-periodic nature of the solar cycle makes it a good candidate for applying time series…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 B. Benson , W. D. Pan , A. Prasad , G. A. Gary , Q. Hu

We present a hybrid forecasting strategy that combines numerical modeling, statistical forecasting, and machine learning methods to predict enhanced bursts of solar activity. These bursts, referred to here as space weather seasons, occur on…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-27 Juie Shetye , Mausumi Dikpati

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

Sunspot activity is highly variable and challenging to forecast. Yet forecasts are important, since peak activity has profound effects on major geophysical phenomena including space weather (satellite drag, telecommunications outages) and…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2011-02-11 A. Kilcik , C. N. K. Anderson , J. P. Rozelot , H. Ye , G. Sugihara , A. Ozguc

Solar flares are among the most powerful and dynamic events in the solar system, resulting from the sudden release of magnetic energy stored in the Sun's atmosphere. These energetic bursts of electromagnetic radiation can release up to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-05-07 Julia Bringewald

Traffic forecasting is vital for Intelligent Transportation Systems, for which Machine Learning (ML) methods have been extensively explored to develop data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions. Recent research focuses on modelling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-01 Xiao Zheng , Saeed Asadi Bagloee , Majid Sarvi

A key element in solving real-life data science problems is selecting the types of models to use. Tree ensemble models (such as XGBoost) are usually recommended for classification and regression problems with tabular data. However, several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Amitai Armon

The ability to predict the future behavior of solar activity has become of extreme importance due to its effect on the near Earth environment. Predictions of both the amplitude and timing of the next solar cycle will assist in estimating…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-20 A. Ajabshirizadeh , N. Masoumzadeh Jouzdani , S. Abbassi

Using neural networks as a prediction method, we attempt to demonstrate that forecasting of the Sun's sunspot time series can be extended to the spatial-temporal case. We employ this machine learning methodology to forecast not only in time…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-03-08 Eurico Covas , Nuno Peixinho , Joao Fernandes

Human living environment is influenced by intense solar activity. The solar activity exhibits periodicity and regularity. Although many deep-learning models are currently used for solar cycle prediction, most of them are based on a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-03-04 Cui Zhao , Kun Liu , Shangbin Yang , Jinchao Xia , Jingxia Chen , Jie Ren , Shiyuan Liu , Fangyuan He

Solar cycles are studied with the Version 2 monthly smoothed international sunspot number, the variations of which are found to be well represented by the modified logistic differential equation with four parameters: maximum cumulative…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-19 G. Qin , S. -S. Wu

The morphology of circular polarisation profiles from solar spectropolarimetric observations encode information about the magnetic field strength, inclination, and line-of-sight velocity gradients. Previous studies used manual methods or…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-05-21 Ryan James Campbell , Mihalis Mathioudakis , Carlos Quintero Noda , Peter Keys , David Orozco Suárez

Group sunspot number (GSN) series constitute the longest instrumental astronomical database providing information on solar activity. It is a compilation of observations by many individual observers, and their inter-calibration has usually…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-06-14 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Ilya G. Usoskin , Gennady A. Kovaltsov , Natalie A. Krivova , Sami K. Solanki

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

In contemporary economic society, credit scores are crucial for every participant. A robust credit evaluation system is essential for the profitability of core businesses such as credit cards, loans, and investments for commercial banks and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-13 Qianwen Xing , Chang Yu , Sining Huang , Qi Zheng , Xingyu Mu , Mengying Sun

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Although large volumes of solar data are available for study, the vast majority of these data remain unlabeled and are therefore not amenable to supervised machine learning methods. Having a way to accurately and automatically classify…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-06-23 Sergey Ivanov , Maksym Tsizh , Denis Ullmann , Brandon Panos , Slava Voloshynovskiy

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

Sunspot number (SSN) is an important - albeit nuanced - parameter that can be used as an indirect measure of solar activity. Predictions of upcoming active intervals, including the peak and timing of solar maximum can have important…

空间物理 · 物理学 2023-05-31 Pete Riley

In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim
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