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We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

Performing sensitivity analysis for influence diagrams using the decision circuit framework is particularly convenient, since the partial derivatives with respect to every parameter are readily available [Bhattacharjya and Shachter, 2007;…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Debarun Bhattacharjya , Ross D. Shachter

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

The problem of distinct value estimation has many applications. Being a critical component of query optimizers in databases, it also has high commercial impact. Many distinct value estimators have been proposed, using various statistical…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-12-05 Vinay Deolalikar , Hernan Laffitte

Consider a group of effort-averse, or lazy, sensors that seek to minimize the effort invested to collect measurements of a variable. Increasing the effort invested by the sensors improves the quality of the measurements provided to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-02-16 Farhad Farokhi , Iman Shames , Michael Cantoni

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

In this paper, we consider the classic measurement error regression scenario in which our independent, or design, variables are observed with several sources of additive noise. We will show that our motivating example's replicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-07-10 David J. Biagioni , Ryan Elmore , Wesley Jones

We present a generative modeling approach based on the variational inference framework for likelihood-free simulation-based inference. The method leverages latent variables within variational autoencoders to efficiently estimate complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Mayank Nautiyal , Andrey Shternshis , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

A stepped wedge design is a unidirectional crossover design where clusters are randomized to distinct treatment sequences. While model-based analysis of stepped wedge designs is standard practice to evaluate treatment effects accounting for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Bingkai Wang , Xueqi Wang , Fan Li

This paper studies empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems for large-scale datasets and incorporates the idea of adaptive sample size methods to improve the guaranteed convergence bounds for first-order stochastic and deterministic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-05 Aryan Mokhtari , Alejandro Ribeiro

Energy-based models (EBMs) are powerful probabilistic models, but suffer from intractable sampling and density evaluation due to the partition function. As a result, inference in EBMs relies on approximate sampling algorithms, leading to a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-10 Dieterich Lawson , George Tucker , Bo Dai , Rajesh Ranganath

Global sensitivity analysis is often impracticable for complex and time demanding numerical models, as it requires a large number of runs. The reduced-basis approach provides a way to replace the original model by a much faster to run code.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-02-25 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

The matrix exponential spatial models exhibit similarities to the conventional spatial autoregressive model in spatial econometrics but offer analytical, computational, and interpretive advantages. This paper provides a comprehensive review…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-28 Ye Yang , Osman Dogan , Suleyman Taspinar , Fei Jin

The use of big data in official statistics and the applied sciences is accelerating, but statistics computed using only big data often suffer from substantial selection bias. This leads to inaccurate estimation and invalid statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-11 Ryan Covey , Lucca Buonamano

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

The spatial error model (SEM) is a type of simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model for analysing spatially correlated data. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most widely used Bayesian methods for estimating SEM, but it has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-14 Anjana Wijayawardhana , David Gunawan , Thomas Suesse

We develop new econometric methods for estimation and inference in high-dimensional panel data models with interactive fixed effects. Our approach can be regarded as a non-trivial extension of the very popular common correlated effects…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-11 Maximilian Ruecker , Michael Vogt , Oliver Linton , Christopher Walsh

We develop a new computational approach for "focused" optimal Bayesian experimental design with nonlinear models, with the goal of maximizing expected information gain in targeted subsets of model parameters. Our approach considers…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-28 Chi Feng , Youssef M. Marzouk