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We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

We study approximation of the embedding $\ell_p^m \hookrightarrow \ell_q^m$, $1 \leq p < q \leq \infty$, based on randomized algorithms that use up to $n$ arbitrary linear functionals as information on a problem instance where $n \ll m$. By…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-22 Robert J. Kunsch , Marcin Wnuk

Simulations of strongly interacting lattice field theories are typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Therefore estimators of statistical errors must incorporate the effect of autocorrelations by integrating the…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Mattia Bruno , Gabriele Morandi

We study quasi-Monte Carlo integration for twice differentiable functions defined over a triangle. We provide an explicit construction of infinite sequences of points including one by Basu and Owen (2015) as a special case, which achieves…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda , Kosuke Suzuki , Takehito Yoshiki

We establish a practical and easy-to-implement sequential stopping rule for the martingale central limit theorem, focusing on Monte Carlo methods for estimating the mean of a non-iid sequence of martingale difference type. Starting with an…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

In this paper, we are interested in deriving non-asymptotic error bounds for the multilevel Monte Carlo method. As a first step, we deal with the explicit Euler discretization of stochastic differential equations with a constant diffusion…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Ahmed Kebaier

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler variant of the partial rejection control algorithm, and show that this variant can be considered as a sequential Monte Carlo sampler with a modified mutation kernel. We prove that the new sampler…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-11-11 G. W. Peters , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-10-11 Alessandro Sinibaldi , Clemens Giuliani , Giuseppe Carleo , Filippo Vicentini

We develop a monotone, two-scale discretization for a class of integrodifferential operators of order $2s$, $s \in (0,1)$. We apply it to develop numerical schemes, and derive pointwise convergence rates, for linear and obstacle problems…

We propose a method to efficiently integrate truncated probability densities. The method uses Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from a probability density matching the function being integrated. The required normalisation or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-10 A. John Arul , Kannan Iyer

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We propose a method for eliminating the truncation error associated with any subspace diagonalization calculation. The new method, called stochastic error correction, uses Monte Carlo sampling to compute the contribution of the remaining…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Dean Lee , Nathan Salwen , Mark Windoloski

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

A change in the number of motor units that operate a particular muscle is an important indicator for the progress of a neuromuscular disease and the efficacy of a therapy. Inference for realistic statistical models of the typical data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Simon Taylor , Chris Sherlock , Gareth Ridall , Paul Fearnhead

In this paper we study randomized optimal stopping problems and consider corresponding forward and backward Monte Carlo based optimisation algorithms. In particular we prove the convergence of the proposed algorithms and derive the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-05 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers

We provide a framework which admits a number of ``marginal'' sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms as particular cases -- including the marginal particle filter [Klaas et al., 2005, in: Proceedings of Uncertainty in Artificial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

We introduce a significant improvement for a relatively new machine learning method called Transformation-Based Learning. By applying a Monte Carlo strategy to randomly sample from the space of rules, rather than exhaustively analyzing all…

cmp-lg · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Ken Samuel

I discuss optimized data analysis and Monte Carlo methods. Reweighting methods are discussed through examples, like Lee-Yang zeroes in the Ising model and the absence of deconfinement in QCD. I discuss reweighted data analysis and…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Enzo Marinari