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相关论文: Outing Power Outages: Real-time and Predictive Soc…

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Urban environments are intricate systems where the breakdown of critical infrastructure can impact both the economic and social well-being of communities. Electricity systems hold particular significance, as they are essential for other…

In recent years, increasingly unpredictable and severe global weather patterns have frequently caused long-lasting power outages. Building resilience, the ability to withstand, adapt to, and recover from major disruptions, has become…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu

Prolonged power outages debilitate the economy and threaten public health. Existing research is generally limited in its scope to a single event, an outage cause, or a region. Here, we provide one of the most comprehensive analyses of U.S.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Aman Ankit , Zhanlin Liu , Scott B. Miles , Youngjun Choe

The size distributions of power outages are shown to depend on the stress, or the proximity of the load of an electrical grid to complete breakdown. Using the data for the U.S. between 2002-2017, we show that the outage statistics are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

Despite significant anecdotal evidence regarding the vulnerability of the U.S. power infrastructure, there is a dearth of longitudinal and nation-level characterization of the spatial and temporal patterns in the frequency and extent of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-30 Bo Li , Junwei Ma , Femi Omitaomu , Ali Mostafavi

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Despite society's strong dependence on electricity, power outages remain prevalent. Standard methods for directly measuring power availability are complex, often inaccurate, and are prone to attack. This paper explores an alternative…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2019-12-10 Niloofar Bayat , Kunal Mahajan , Sam Denton , Vishal Misra , Dan Rubenstein

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar

We use observed transmission line outage data to make a Markov influence graph that describes the probabilities of transitions between generations of cascading line outages, where each generation of a cascade consists of a single line…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-03-17 Kai Zhou , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang , Alexander Roitershtein , Arka P. Ghosh

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

Natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and winter storms have induced large-scale power outages in the U.S., resulting in tremendous economic and societal impacts. Accurately predicting power outage recovery and impact is key to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji

Power system outages expose market participants to significant financial risk unless promptly detected and hedged. We develop an outage identification method from public market signals grounded in the parametric quickest change detection…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-21 Milad Hoseinpour , Shubhanshu Shekhar , Vladimir Dvorkin

We show how to use standard transmission line outage historical data to obtain the network topology in such a way that cascades of line outages can be easily located on the network. Then we obtain statistics quantifying how cascading…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-11-23 Ian Dobson , Benjamin A. Carreras , David E. Newman , Jose M. Reynolds-Barredo

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

The multifaceted nature of disaster impact shows that densely populated areas contribute more to aggregate burden, while sparsely populated but heavily affected regions suffer disproportionately at the individual level. This study…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Ali Mostafavi

The modelling of power station outages is an integral part of power system planning. In this work, models of the unavailability of the fleets of eight countries in Northwest Europe are constructed and subsequently compared against empirical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-07 Matthew Deakin , David Greenwood , David J. Brayshaw , Hannah Bloomfield

Power outages caused by extreme weather events due to climate change have doubled in the United States in the last two decades. Outages pose severe health risks to over 4.4 million individuals dependent on in-home medical devices. Data on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-16 Paraskevi Kourtza , Maitreyee Marathe , Anuj Shetty , Diego Kiedanski

Developing models and metrics that can address resilience against disruptions is vital to ensure power grid reliability and that adequate recovery and adaptation mechanisms are in place. In this paper, we propose a novel disruption mapping…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-19 Maureen S. Golan , Javad Mohammadi

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang
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