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相关论文: Diffusion Causal Models for Counterfactual Estimat…

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Standard diffusion models are flexible estimators of complex distributions, but they do not encode causal structures and therefore do not by themselves support causal analysis. We propose a causality-encoded diffusion framework that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

We study counterfactual identifiability in causal models with bijective generation mechanisms (BGM), a class that generalizes several widely-used causal models in the literature. We establish their counterfactual identifiability for three…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Arash Nasr-Esfahany , Mohammad Alizadeh , Devavrat Shah

We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and a structural breaks testing problem. This allows us to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Counterfactual reasoning is often used in clinical settings to explain decisions or weigh alternatives. Therefore, for imaging based specialties such as ophthalmology, it would be beneficial to be able to create counterfactual images,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Indu Ilanchezian , Valentyn Boreiko , Laura Kühlewein , Ziwei Huang , Murat Seçkin Ayhan , Matthias Hein , Lisa Koch , Philipp Berens

Inferring causal links or subgraphs corresponding to a specific phenotype or label based solely on measured data is an important yet challenging task, which is also different from inferring causal nodes. While Graph Neural Network (GNN)…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Qibin Zhang , Chengshang Lyu , Lingxi Chen , Qiqi Jin , Luonan Chen

We consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in linear structural causal models (SCM) with latent confounders when we have access to a single proxy variable. Several methods (such as…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yaroslav Kivva , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Counterfactual reasoning allows us to explore hypothetical scenarios in order to explain the impacts of our decisions. However, addressing such inquires is impossible without establishing the appropriate mathematical framework. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Marija Iloska , Petar M. Djuric

Counterfactual distributions are important ingredients for policy analysis and decomposition analysis in empirical economics. In this article we develop modeling and inference tools for counterfactual distributions based on regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val , Blaise Melly

Deep learning analyses have offered sensitivity leaps in detection of cognitive states from functional MRI (fMRI) measurements across the brain. Yet, as deep models perform hierarchical nonlinear transformations on their input, interpreting…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-20 Hasan Atakan Bedel , Tolga Çukur

Causal inference from observational data plays critical role in many applications in trustworthy machine learning. While sound and complete algorithms exist to compute causal effects, many of them assume access to conditional likelihoods,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Matt Jordan , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal reasoning provides a language to ask important interventional and counterfactual questions beyond purely statistical association. In medical imaging, for example, we may want to study the causal effect of genetic, environmental, or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-24 Rajat Rasal , Daniel C. Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker

The capacity to address counterfactual "what if" inquiries is crucial for understanding and making use of causal influences. Traditional counterfactual inference, under Pearls' counterfactual framework, typically depends on having access to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Shaoan Xie , Biwei Huang , Bin Gu , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang

Prior image-text matching methods have shown remarkable performance on many benchmark datasets, but most of them overlook the bias in the dataset, which exists in intra-modal and inter-modal, and tend to learn the spurious correlations that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Wenhui Li , Xinqi Su , Dan Song , Lanjun Wang , Kun Zhang , An-An Liu

What is the difference of a prediction that is made with a causal model and a non-causal model? Suppose we intervene on the predictor variables or change the whole environment. The predictions from a causal model will in general work as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-27 Jonas Peters , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

We address the problem of counterfactual regression using causal inference (CI) in observational studies consisting of high dimensional covariates and high cardinality treatments. Confounding bias, which leads to inaccurate treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-12 Ankit Sharma , Garima Gupta , Ranjitha Prasad , Arnab Chatterjee , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Counterfactual explanation is one branch of interpretable machine learning that produces a perturbation sample to change the model's original decision. The generated samples can act as a recommendation for end-users to achieve their desired…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Recent studies on deepfake detection have achieved promising results when training and testing faces are from the same dataset. However, their results severely degrade when confronted with forged samples that the model has not yet seen…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Tiewen Chen , Shanmin Yang , Shu Hu , Zhenghan Fang , Ying Fu , Xi Wu , Xin Wang

Simulating longitudinal data from specified marginal structural models is a crucial but challenging task for evaluating causal inference methods and informing study design. While data generation typically proceeds in a fully conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Xi Lin , Daniel de Vassimon Manela , Chase Mathis , Jens Magelund Tarp , Robin J. Evans

Estimating an individual's potential outcomes under counterfactual treatments is a challenging task for traditional causal inference and supervised learning approaches when the outcome is high-dimensional (e.g. gene expressions, impulse…