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This paper focuses on modelling surrender time for policyholders in the context of life insurance. In this setup, a large lapse rate at the first months of a contract is often observed, with a decrease in this rate after some months. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Viviana G. R. Lobo , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

Machine Learning permeates many industries, which brings new source of benefits for companies. However within the life insurance industry, Machine Learning is not widely used in practice as over the past years statistical models have shown…

In the current insurance literature, prediction of insurance claims in the regression problem is often performed with a statistical model. This model-based approach may potentially suffer from several drawbacks: (i) model misspecification,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Liang Hong

Modeling policyholders lapse behaviors is important to a life insurer since lapses affect pricing, reserving, profitability, liquidity, risk management, as well as the solvency of the insurer. Lapse risk is indeed the most significant life…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Stéphane Loisel , Pierrick Piette , Jason Tsai

Death benefits are generally the largest cash flow item that affects financial statements of life insurers where some still do not have a systematic process to track and monitor death claims experience. In this article, we explore data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-27 Shuang Yin , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez , Jeyaraj Vadiveloo

Data on hundreds of variables related to individual consumer finance behavior (such as credit card and loan activity) is routinely collected in many countries and plays an important role in lending decisions. We postulate that the detailed…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-09 Giacomo De Giorgi , Matthew Harding , Gabriel Vasconcelos

Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , Marzyeh Ghassemi , David Cutler , Ziad Obermeyer

The use of models, even if efficient, must be accompanied by an understanding at all levels of the process that transforms data (upstream and downstream). Thus, needs increase to define the relationships between individual data and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-02 Dimitri Delcaillau , Antoine Ly , Alize Papp , Franck Vermet

Recent transformative and disruptive advancements in the insurance industry have embraced various InsurTech innovations. In particular, with the rapid progress in data science and computational capabilities, InsurTech is able to integrate a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-01-31 Zhiyu Quan , Changyue Hu , Panyi Dong , Emiliano A. Valdez

User churn, characterized by customers ending their relationship with a business, has profound economic consequences across various Business-to-Customer scenarios. For numerous system-to-user actions, such as promotional discounts and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Shamik Bhattacharjee , Utkarsh Thukral , Nilesh Patil

The occurrence of a claim often impacts not one but multiple insurance coverages provided in the contract. To account for this multivariate feature, we propose a new individual claims reserving model built around the activation of the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-16 Marie Michaelides , Mathieu Pigeon , Hélène Cossette

Since the beginning of their history, insurers have been known to use data to classify and price risks. As such, they were confronted early on with the problem of fairness and discrimination associated with data. This issue is becoming…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-18 Laurence Barry , Arthur Charpentier

Underwriting is one of the important stages in an insurance company. The insurance company uses different factors to classify the policyholders. In this study, we apply several machine learning models such as nearest neighbour and logistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-04 Marjan Qazvini

This paper describes a general approach for stochastic modeling of assets returns and liability cash-flows of a typical pensions insurer. On the asset side, we model the investment returns on equities and various classes of fixed-income…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-05-27 Sergio Alvares Maffra , John Armstrong , Teemu Pennanen

The insurance industry, with its large datasets, is a natural place to use big data solutions. However it must be stressed, that significant number of applications for machine learning in insurance industry, like fraud detection or claim…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-14 Sebastian Baran , Przemysław Rola

Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Leander Löw , Martin Spindler , Eike Brechmann

This paper addresses the identification of insurance models with multidimensional screening where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes a random damage and the possibility of several…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-01-18 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong

Insurers underwrite risks: they calculate risks and decide on the insurance price. Insurers seem captivated by two trends enabled by Artificial Intelligence (AI). First, insurers could use AI for analysing more and new types of data to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Marvin S. L. van Bekkum , Frederik Zuiderveen Borgesius , Tom Heskes

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-30 Jelena Stojanovic , Djordje Gligorijevic , Zoran Obradovic

We consider the problem of evaluating the performance of a decision policy using past observational data. The outcome of a policy is measured in terms of a loss (aka. disutility or negative reward) and the main problem is making valid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Fredrik D. Johansson , Petre Stoica
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