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Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Yufang Dai , Shihua Luo , Wendy Lou , Zilin Wang , Xuewen Lu

Adaptive experiments, including efficient average treatment effect estimation and multi-armed bandit algorithms, have garnered attention in various applications, such as social experiments, clinical trials, and online advertisement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-24 Masahiro Kato

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Differences-in-differences (DiD) is a causal inference method for observational longitudinal data that assumes parallel expected potential outcome trajectories between treatment groups under the counterfactual scenario where all units…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Michael Jetsupphasuk , Didong Li , Michael G. Hudgens

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Causal effect estimation for dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) contributes to sequential decision making. However, censoring and time-dependent confounding under DTRs are challenging as the amount of observational data declines over time due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Adi Lin , Jie Lu , Junyu Xuan , Fujin Zhu , Guangquan Zhang

The presence of unobserved confounders is one of the main challenges in identifying treatment effects. In this paper, we propose a new approach to causal inference using panel data with large large $N$ and $T$. Our approach imputes the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Ben Deaner , Chen-Wei Hsiang , Andrei Zeleneev

We consider evaluating the causal effects of dynamic treatments, i.e. of multiple treatment sequences in various periods, based on double machine learning to control for observed, time-varying covariates in a data-driven way under a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-22 Hugo Bodory , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

Understanding the effect of a particular treatment or a policy pertains to many areas of interest, ranging from political economics, marketing to healthcare. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric algorithm for detecting the effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic

Longitudinal study designs are indispensable for studying disease progression. Inferring covariate effects from longitudinal data, however, requires interpretable methods that can model complicated covariance structures and detect nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Juho Timonen , Henrik Mannerström , Aki Vehtari , Harri Lähdesmäki

Most work in causal inference considers deterministic interventions that set each unit's treatment to some fixed value. However, under positivity violations these interventions can lead to non-identification, inefficiency, and effects with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Edward H. Kennedy

Concerns have been expressed over the validity of statistical inference under covariate-adaptive randomization despite the extensive use in clinical trials. In the literature, the inferential properties under covariate-adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Li Yang , Wei Ma , Yichen Qin , Feifang Hu

This paper develops a unified framework for estimating continuous outcomes under multiple treatment levels in observational studies. We integrate the Generalized Propensity Score (GPS), Covariate Balancing Propensity Score (CBPS), and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Byeonghee Lee , Joonsung Kang

Most causal inference methods consider counterfactual variables under interventions that set the treatment deterministically. With continuous or multi-valued treatments or exposures, such counterfactuals may be of little practical interest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Iván Díaz , Nicholas Williams , Katherine L. Hoffman , Edward J. Schenck

In biomedical studies, estimating drug effects on chronic diseases requires a long follow-up period, which is difficult to meet in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). The use of a short-term surrogate to replace the long-term outcome for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Wenjie Hu , Xiaohua Zhou , Peng Wu

This paper considers the identification of dynamic treatment effects with panel data, in complex designs where the treatment may not be binary and may not be absorbing. We first show that under no-anticipation and parallel-trends…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-23 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Many programs evaluated in observational studies incorporate a sequential structure, where individuals may be assigned to various programs over time. While this complexity is often simplified by analyzing programs at single points in time,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-16 Fabian Muny

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Patrick van Hage , Saskia le Cessie , Marissa C. van Maaren , Hein Putter , Nan van Geloven

This paper proposes a statistical inference method for assessing treatment effects with dyadic data. Under the assumption that the treatments follow an exchangeable distribution, our approach allows for the presence of any unobserved…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-28 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi