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Structural causal models are the basic modelling unit in Pearl's causal theory; in principle they allow us to solve counterfactuals, which are at the top rung of the ladder of causation. But they often contain latent variables that limit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

Graph data often contain noisy and spurious correlations that mask the true causal relationships, which are essential for enabling graph models to make predictions based on the underlying causal structure of the data. Dependence on spurious…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong

We present Calibrated Counterfactual Conformal Fairness ($C^3F$), a post-hoc procedure that targets group-conditional coverage parity under covariate shift. $C^3F$ combines importance-weighted conformal calibration with a counterfactual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Faruk Alpay , Taylan Alpay

Estimating individual treatment effects from data of randomized experiments is a critical task in causal inference. The Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption (SUTVA) is usually made in causal inference. However, interference can introduce…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-05 Yunpu Ma , Volker Tresp

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

Causal inference deals with identifying which random variables "cause" or control other random variables. Recent advances on the topic of causal inference based on tools from statistical estimation and machine learning have resulted in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-23 Matt J. Kusner , Yu Sun , Karthik Sridharan , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Counterfactual explanation (CE) is a core technique in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), widely used to interpret model decisions and suggest actionable alternatives. This work presents a structure-aware and robustness-oriented…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Zhan-Yi Liao , Jaewon Yoo , Hao-Tsung Yang , Po-An Chen

Estimating physical parameters from data is a crucial application of machine learning (ML) in the physical sciences. However, systematic uncertainties, such as detector miscalibration, induce data distribution distortions that can erode…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-05-14 Ibrahim Elsharkawy , Yonatan Kahn

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become successful in molecular property prediction tasks such as toxicity analysis. However, due to the black-box nature of GNNs, their outputs can be concerning in high-stakes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yinhan He , Zaiyi Zheng , Patrick Soga , Yaozhen Zhu , yushun Dong , Jundong Li

Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) are essential for interpreting black-box models, yet they often become invalid when models are slightly changed. Existing methods for generating robust CFEs are often limited to specific types of models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Maciej Zięba , Jerzy Stefanowski

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in using machine learning techniques for the estimation of treatment effects. Most of the best-performing methods rely on representation learning strategies that encourage shared behavior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Roger Pros , Jordi Vitrià

Graph neural networks have shown great ability in representation (GNNs) learning on graphs, facilitating various tasks. Despite their great performance in modeling graphs, recent works show that GNNs tend to inherit and amplify the bias…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Zhimeng Guo , Jialiang Li , Teng Xiao , Yao Ma , Suhang Wang

Estimating causal effects from observational data is challenging due to selection bias, which leads to imbalanced covariate distributions across treatment groups. Propensity score-based weighting methods are widely used to address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Ahmad Saeed Khan , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes Andreas Stork

With the growing complexity of cyberattacks targeting critical infrastructures such as water treatment networks, there is a pressing need for robust anomaly detection strategies that account for both system vulnerabilities and evolving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Haoyue Bai , Dongjie Wang , Yanjie Fu

Counterfactual explanation is one branch of interpretable machine learning that produces a perturbation sample to change the model's original decision. The generated samples can act as a recommendation for end-users to achieve their desired…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Additive noise models (ANMs) are an important setting studied in causal inference. Most of the existing works on ANMs assume causal sufficiency, i.e., there are no unobserved confounders. This paper focuses on confounded ANMs, where a set…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Murat Kocaoglu

Graph-structured data are pervasive in the real-world such as social networks, molecular graphs and transaction networks. Graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved great success in representation learning on graphs, facilitating various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Zhimeng Guo , Teng Xiao , Zongyu Wu , Charu Aggarwal , Hui Liu , Suhang Wang

Counterfactual examples for an input -- perturbations that change specific features but not others -- have been shown to be useful for evaluating bias of machine learning models, e.g., against specific demographic groups. However,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-01-07 Saloni Dash , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Amit Sharma

Conditional Normalizing Flows (CNFs) are flexible generative models capable of representing complicated distributions with high dimensionality and large interdimensional correlations, making them appealing for structured output learning.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Mohsen Zand , Ali Etemad , Michael Greenspan