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We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Predicting the future performance of young runners is an important research issue in experimental sports science and performance analysis. We analyse a data set with annual seasonal best performances of male middle distance runners for a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Manuela Cattelan , Petros Dellaportas

Recent advances in tabular data generation have greatly enhanced synthetic data quality. However, extending diffusion models to tabular data is challenging due to the intricately varied distributions and a blend of data types of tabular…

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

This study explores strategic considerations in professional golf's Match Play format, challenging the conventional focus on individual performance. Leveraging PGA Tour data, we investigate the impact of factoring in an adversary's…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-05 Nishad Wajge , Gautier Stauffer

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

In ecology we may find scenarios where the same phenomenon (species occurrence, species abundance, etc.) is observed using two different types of samplers. For instance, species data can be collected from scientific sampling with a…

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We develop a machine learning approach to represent and analyze the underlying spatial structure that governs shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. Typically, NBA players are discussed and compared in an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-09 Andrew Miller , Luke Bornn , Ryan Adams , Kirk Goldsberry

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

This paper reports the effort of deducing the initial strategy distributions of agents in mix-game model which is used to predict a real financial time series generated from a target financial market. Using mix-game to predict Shanghai…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Chengling Gou

Bookmakers' odds consistently provide one of the most accurate methods for predicting the results of professional tennis matches. However, these odds usually only become available shortly before a match takes place, limiting their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-25 Matthew J Penn , Jed Michael , Samir Bhatt

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

Synthetic samples from diffusion models are promising for leveraging in training discriminative models as replications of real training datasets. However, we found that the synthetic datasets degrade classification performance over real…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Shin'ya Yamaguchi , Takuma Fukuda

Accurate imputation is essential for the reliability and success of downstream tasks. Recently, diffusion models have attracted great attention in this field. However, these models neglect the latent distribution in a lower-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Guojun Liang , Najmeh Abiri , Atiye Sadat Hashemi , Jens Lundström , Stefan Byttner , Prayag Tiwari

Many panel studies collect refreshment samples---new, randomly sampled respondents who complete the questionnaire at the same time as a subsequent wave of the panel. With appropriate modeling, these samples can be leveraged to correct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-08 Yajuan Si , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-17 Nicholas Bonello , Joeran Beel , Seamus Lawless , Jeremy Debattista

This paper proposes a fusion method of modalities extracted from video through a three-stream network with spatio-temporal and temporal convolutions for fine-grained action classification in sport. It is applied to TTStroke-21 dataset which…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Pierre-Etienne Martin , Jenny Benois-Pineau , Renaud Péteri , Julien Morlier
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