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相关论文: N-HiTS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time…

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Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are characterized by irregular time intervals within variables and unaligned observations across variables, posing challenges in learning temporal and variable dependencies. Many existing IMTS…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Boyuan Li , Yicheng Luo , Zhen Liu , Junhao Zheng , Jianming Lv , Qianli Ma

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

Time Series forecasting (TSF) in the modern era faces significant computational and storage cost challenges due to the massive scale of real-world data. Dataset Distillation (DD), a paradigm that synthesizes a small, compact dataset to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Seungha Hong , Sanghwan Jang , Wonbin Kweon , Suyeon Kim , Gyuseok Lee , Hwanjo Yu

Forecast reconciliation has attracted significant research interest in recent years, with most studies taking the hierarchy of time series as given. We extend existing work that uses time series clustering to construct hierarchies, with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Bohan Zhang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Han Li

Neural PDE solvers offer a powerful tool for modeling complex dynamical systems, but often struggle with error accumulation over long time horizons and maintaining stability and physical consistency. We introduce a multiscale implicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Ruoxi Jiang , Xiao Zhang , Karan Jakhar , Peter Y. Lu , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Michael Maire , Rebecca Willett

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Sensors in cyber-physical systems often capture interconnected processes and thus emit correlated time series (CTS), the forecasting of which enables important applications. The key to successful CTS forecasting is to uncover the temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Xinle Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Precipitation nowcasting predicts future radar sequences based on current observations, which is a highly challenging task driven by the inherent complexity of the Earth system. Accurate nowcasting is of utmost importance for addressing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Yifang Yin , Shengkai Chen , Yiyao Li , Lu Wang , Ruibing Jin , Wei Cui , Shili Xiang

Delivering precise point and distributional forecasts across a spectrum of prediction horizons represents a significant and enduring challenge in the application of time-series forecasting within various industries. Prior research on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Jiawen Zhang , Xumeng Wen , Zhenwei Zhang , Shun Zheng , Jia Li , Jiang Bian

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Pre-trained models exhibit strong generalization to various downstream tasks. However, given the numerous models available in the model hub, identifying the most suitable one by individually fine-tuning is time-consuming. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Tengxue Zhang , Biao Ouyang , Yang Shu , Xinyang Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Long-horizon vessel trajectory forecasting under real ocean conditions is critical for collision avoidance, traffic management, and route planning. However, achieving accurate predictions is challenging due to long-range temporal…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Ganeshaaraj Gnanavel , Tharindu Fernando , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting meaningful features from complex data structures, driving significant advancements in fields such as neuroscience, biology, machine learning, and financial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 ZiXin Lin , Nur Fariha Syaqina Zulkepli

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…