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We study the problem of learning to choose from m discrete treatment options (e.g., news item or medical drug) the one with best causal effect for a particular instance (e.g., user or patient) where the training data consists of passive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-02 Nathan Kallus

This paper focuses on the estimation of distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments that use covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR). These include designs such as Efron's biased-coin design and stratified block randomization,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-09 Undral Byambadalai , Tomu Hirata , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui

Distributed learning provides an attractive framework for scaling the learning task by sharing the computational load over multiple nodes in a network. Here, we investigate the performance of distributed learning for large-scale linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-03 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén

Many real-world problems require trading off multiple competing objectives. However, these objectives are often in different units and/or scales, which can make it challenging for practitioners to express numerical preferences over…

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

Consider a setting in which a policy maker assigns subjects to treatments, observing each outcome before the next subject arrives. Initially, it is unknown which treatment is best, but the sequential nature of the problem permits learning…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-13 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-01-03 Denis S. Grebenkov , Jeremy Serror

Residual-based adaptive strategies are widely used in scientific machine learning but remain largely heuristic. We introduce a unifying variational framework that formalizes these methods by integrating convex transformations of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Juan Diego Toscano , Daniel T. Chen , Vivek Oommen , Jérôme Darbon , George Em Karniadakis

We propose a simple algorithm to train stochastic neural networks to draw samples from given target distributions for probabilistic inference. Our method is based on iteratively adjusting the neural network parameters so that the output…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Dilin Wang , Qiang Liu

Penalization schemes like Lasso or ridge regression are routinely used to regress a response of interest on a high-dimensional set of potential predictors. Despite being decisive, the question of the relative strength of penalization is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-08 Britta Velten , Wolfgang Huber

We propose a framework that aligns Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation with profit maximization. Our method recognizes that, for customers with extreme treatment effects, additional estimation accuracy is unlikely to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Artem Timoshenko , Caio Waisman

Recent development in the data-driven decision science has seen great advances in individualized decision making. Given data with individual covariates, treatment assignments and outcomes, policy makers best individualized treatment rule…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Weibin Mo , Zhengling Qi , Yufeng Liu

Recently, there are many trials to apply reinforcement learning in asset allocation for earning more stable profits. In this paper, we compare performance between several reinforcement learning algorithms - actor-only, actor-critic and PPO…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-16 Jiwon Kim , Moon-Ju Kang , KangHun Lee , HyungJun Moon , Bo-Kwan Jeon

Applications in quantitative finance such as optimal trade execution, risk management of options, and optimal asset allocation involve the solution of high dimensional and nonlinear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The connection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-28 Batuhan Güler , Alexis Laignelet , Panos Parpas

Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-26 Andrei Neagu , Frédéric Godin , Clarence Simard , Leila Kosseim

This work develops effective distributed strategies for the solution of constrained multi-agent stochastic optimization problems with coupled parameters across the agents. In this formulation, each agent is influenced by only a subset of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-15 Sulaiman A. Alghunaim , Ali H. Sayed

Recent advances in dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) facilitate the search for optimal treatments, which are tailored to individuals' specific needs and able to maximize their expected clinical benefits. However, existing algorithms relying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Hanwen Ye , Wenzhuo Zhou , Ruoqing Zhu , Annie Qu

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

This paper considers a high dimensional linear regression model with corrected variables. A variety of methods have been developed in recent years, yet it is still challenging to keep accurate estimation when there are complex correlation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-17 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën