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Credit risk assessment is a crucial aspect of financial decision-making, enabling institutions to predict the likelihood of default and make informed lending decisions. Two prominent methodologies in credit risk modeling are logistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Cheng Lee , Hsi Lee

We consider adversarial examples for image classification in the black-box decision-based setting. Here, an attacker cannot access confidence scores, but only the final label. Most attacks for this scenario are either unreliable or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-30 Thomas Brunner , Frederik Diehl , Michael Truong Le , Alois Knoll

We propose the use of probabilistic programming techniques to tackle the malicious user identification problem in a recommendation algorithm. Probabilistic programming provides numerous advantages over other techniques, including but not…

To check the accuracy of Bayesian computations, it is common to use rank-based simulation-based calibration (SBC). However, SBC has drawbacks: The test statistic is somewhat ad-hoc, interactions are difficult to examine, multiple testing is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Yuling Yao , Justin Domke

This paper presents a sandbox example of how the integration of models borrowed from Behavioral Economic (specifically Protection-Motivation Theory) into ML algorithms (specifically Bayesian Networks) can improve the performance and…

Deep Learning models are vulnerable to adversarial examples, i.e.\ images obtained via deliberate imperceptible perturbations, such that the model misclassifies them with high confidence. However, class confidence by itself is an incomplete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-23 Ambrish Rawat , Martin Wistuba , Maria-Irina Nicolae

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Henry Tirri

Analyzing machine learning model performance stratified by patient and recording properties is becoming the accepted norm and often yields crucial insights about important model failure modes. Performing such analyses in a statistically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Dishantkumar Sutariya , Eike Petersen

We study the fundamental mistake bound and sample complexity in the strategic classification, where agents can strategically manipulate their feature vector up to an extent in order to be predicted as positive. For example, given a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Han Shao , Avrim Blum , Omar Montasser

Symbolic regression is a powerful tool for discovering governing equations directly from data, but its sensitivity to noise hinders its broader application. This paper introduces a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) framework for Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-12 Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Patrick E. Leser

We propose a hybrid machine learning architecture that simultaneously employs multiple deep learning models analyzing contextual and behavioral characteristics of Windows portable executable, producing a final prediction based on a decision…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Dmitrijs Trizna

In this work, we present a novel, machine-learning approach for constructing Multiclass Interpretable Scoring Systems (MISS) - a fully data-driven methodology for generating single, sparse, and user-friendly scoring systems for multiclass…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-11 Michal K. Grzeszczyk , Tomasz Trzciński , Arkadiusz Sitek

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

In various approaches to learning, notably in domain adaptation, active learning, learning under covariate shift, semi-supervised learning, learning with concept drift, and the like, one often wants to compare a baseline classifier to one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-14 Marco Loog , Jesse H. Krijthe , Are C. Jensen

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo based approximations of expectations of random variables such that their laws are only available via certain discretizations. Sampling from the discretized versions of these laws can typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Dan Crisan , Pierre Del Moral , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

Many software engineering tasks, such as testing, and anomaly detection can benefit from the ability to infer a behavioral model of the software.Most existing inference approaches assume access to code to collect execution sequences. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Foozhan Ataiefard , Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati , Niel Walkinshaw

Though neural network models demonstrate impressive performance, we do not understand exactly how these black-box models make individual predictions. This drawback has led to substantial research devoted to understand these models in areas…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-10 Serena Booth , Ankit Shah , Yilun Zhou , Julie Shah

We deal with Bayesian inference for Beta autoregressive processes. We restrict our attention to the class of conditionally linear processes. These processes are particularly suitable for forecasting purposes, but are difficult to estimate…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-03 R. Casarin , L. Dalla Valle , F. Leisen

Recently, the number of malicious open-source packages in package repositories has been increasing dramatically. While major security scanners focus on identifying known Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVEs) in open-source packages,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Thanh-Cong Nguyen , Ngoc-Thanh Nguyen , Van-Giau Ung , Duc-Ly Vu

Classification is an important task in many fields including biomedical research and machine learning. Traditionally, a classification rule is constructed based a bunch of labeled data. Recently, due to technological innovation and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-19 Jing Wang , Eunsik Park , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang