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Many studies employ the analysis of time-to-event data that incorporates competing risks and right censoring. Most methods and software packages are geared towards analyzing data that comes from a continuous failure time distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Tomer Meir , Malka Gorfine

Randomized controlled trials play an important role in how Internet companies predict the impact of policy decisions and product changes. In these `digital experiments', different units (people, devices, products) respond differently to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Matt Taddy , Matt Gardner , Liyun Chen , David Draper

Evaluating the treatment effects has become an important topic for many applications. However, most existing literature focuses mainly on the average treatment effects. When the individual effects are heavy-tailed or have outlier values,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Yongchang Su , Xinran Li

Electronic health records (EHRs) are longitudinal records of a patient's interactions with healthcare systems. A patient's EHR data is organized as a three-level hierarchy from top to bottom: patient journey - all the experiences of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Xueping Peng , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Sen Wang , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

We consider time to treatment initiation. This can commonly occur in preventive medicine, such as disease screening and vaccination; it can also occur with non-fatal health conditions such as HIV infection without the onset of AIDS. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Zhichen Zhao , Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu

We consider the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects with arbitrary machine learning methods in the presence of unobserved confounders with the aid of a valid instrument. Such settings arise in A/B tests with an intent-to-treat…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-07 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Victor Lei , Miruna Oprescu , Maggie Hei , Keith Battocchi , Greg Lewis

Ability to quantify and predict progression of a disease is fundamental for selecting an appropriate treatment. Many clinical metrics cannot be acquired frequently either because of their cost (e.g. MRI, gait analysis) or because they are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Guanyang Wang , Yumeng Zhang , Yong Deng , Xuxin Huang , Łukasz Kidziński

While sample sizes in randomized clinical trials are large enough to estimate the average treatment effect well, they are often insufficient for estimation of treatment-covariate interactions critical to studying data-driven precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-22 Steve Yadlowsky , Fabio Pellegrini , Federica Lionetto , Stefan Braune , Lu Tian

Clinical trials disruption has always represented a non negligible part of the ending of interventional studies. While the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to an impressive and unprecedented initiation of clinical research, it has…

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

In stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs), observations collected under the control condition are, on average, from an earlier time than observations collected under the intervention condition. In a cohort design, participants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-23 Jale Basten , Katja Ickstadt , Nina Timmesfeld

A treatment regime is a rule that assigns a treatment to patients based on their covariate information. Recently, estimation of the optimal treatment regime that yields the greatest overall expected clinical outcome of interest has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Kevin Gunn , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Background: Accurate survival prediction in breast cancer is essential for patient stratification and personalized therapy. Integrating gene expression data with clinical factors may enhance prognostic performance and support precision…

Large clinical datasets derived from insurance claims and electronic health record (EHR) systems are valuable sources for precision medicine research. These datasets can be used to develop models for personalized prediction of risk or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Liang Liang , Jue Hou , Hajime Uno , Kelly Cho , Yanyuan Ma , Tianxi Cai

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect treatment heterogeneity in subgroups defined by cross-classifications of multiple covariates, due to sparse sample sizes in some strata. External RCT data can help, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Youqi Yang , Walter Dempsey , Bhramar Mukherjee

In early-phase cancer clinical trials, the limited availability of data presents significant challenges in developing a framework to efficiently quantify treatment effectiveness. To address this, we propose a novel utility-based Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Saurabh Bhandari , Michael J. Daniels , Chenguang Wang

Selecting appropriate training data is crucial for effective instruction fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs), which aims to (1) elicit strong capabilities, and (2) achieve balanced performance across a diverse range of tasks.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Qirun Dai , Dylan Zhang , Jiaqi W. Ma , Hao Peng

This study investigates the identification power gained by combining experimental data, in which treatment is randomized, with observational data, in which treatment is self-selected, for distributional treatment effect (DTE) parameters.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-24 Shosei Sakaguchi

Motivated by empirical studies investigating treatment effects in survival analysis, we propose a bivariate transformation model to quantify the impact of a binary treatment on a time-to-event outcome. The model equations are connected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra