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Simulation plays a central role in scientific discovery. In many applications, the bottleneck is no longer running a simulator; it is choosing among large families of plausible simulators, each corresponding to different forward…

Uncertainty quantification is central to many applications of causal machine learning, yet principled Bayesian inference for causal effects remains challenging. Standard Bayesian approaches typically require specifying a probabilistic model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Emil Javurek , Dennis Frauen , Yuxin Wang , Stefan Feuerriegel

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

The transition to prescriptive maintenance (PsM) in manufacturing is critically constrained by a dependence on predictive models. Such purely predictive models tend to capture statistical associations in the data without identifying the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Felix Saretzky , Lucas Andersen , Thomas Engel , Fazel Ansari

Modern computer vision applications rely on learning-based perception modules parameterized with neural networks for tasks like object detection. These modules frequently have low expected error overall but high error on atypical groups of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-22 Cinjon Resnick , Or Litany , Amlan Kar , Karsten Kreis , James Lucas , Kyunghyun Cho , Sanja Fidler

Interpreting the inner function of neural networks is crucial for the trustworthy development and deployment of these black-box models. Prior interpretability methods focus on correlation-based measures to attribute model decisions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Ola Ahmad , Nicolas Bereux , Loïc Baret , Vahid Hashemi , Freddy Lecue

The key of sequential recommendation lies in the accurate item correlation modeling. Previous models infer such information based on item co-occurrences, which may fail to capture the real causal relations, and impact the recommendation…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Zhenlei Wang , Xu Chen , Rui Zhou , Quanyu Dai , Zhenhua Dong , Ji-Rong Wen

State estimation remains a fundamental challenge across numerous domains, from autonomous driving, aircraft tracking to quantum system control. Although Bayesian filtering has been the cornerstone solution, its classical model-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Yangguang He , Wenhao Li , Minzhe Li , Juan Zhang , Xiangfeng Wang , Bo Jin

This article presents one of the pioneering studies on causal modeling in travel mode choice decision-making using causal discovery algorithms. These models are a major advancement from conventional correlation-based techniques. We propose…

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

Modern deep learning models excel at pattern recognition but remain fundamentally limited by their reliance on spurious correlations, leading to poor generalization and a demand for massive datasets. We argue that a key ingredient for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Mohamed Zayaan S

We introduce Causal Computational Asymmetry (CCA), a principle for causal direction identification based on optimization dynamics in which one neural network is trained to predict $Y$ from $X$ and another to predict $X$ from $Y$, and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Abdulrahman Tamim

Uncovering cause-effect relationships from observational time series is fundamental to understanding complex systems. While many methods infer static causal graphs, real-world systems often exhibit dynamic causality-where relationships…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Tingzhu Bi , Yicheng Pan , Xinrui Jiang , Huize Sun , Meng Ma , Ping Wang

Linear structural causal models (SCMs) -- in which each observed variable is generated by a subset of the other observed variables as well as a subset of the exogenous sources -- are pervasive in causal inference and casual discovery.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Yuqin Yang , Mohamed Nafea , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-08-24 Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peixuan Chen

CPU simulators are vital for computer architecture research, primarily for estimating performance under different programs. This poses challenges for fast and accurate simulation of modern CPUs, especially in multi-core systems. Modern CPU…

性能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Buqing Xu , Jianfeng Zhu , Yichi Zhang , Qinyi Cai , Guanhua Li , Shaojun Wei , Leibo Liu

Training trustworthy agentic LLMs requires data that shows the grounded reasoning process, not just the final answer. Existing datasets fall short: question-answering data is outcome-only, chain-of-thought data is not tied to specific…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Saber Zerhoudi , Michael Granitzer , Jelena Mitrovic

Causal inference in observational studies with high-dimensional covariates presents significant challenges. We introduce CausalBGM, an AI-powered Bayesian generative modeling approach that captures the causal relationship among covariates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Qiao Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Recently, recommender system (RS) based on causal inference has gained much attention in the industrial community, as well as the states of the art performance in many prediction and debiasing tasks. Nevertheless, a unified causal analysis…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-05-19 Peng Wu , Haoxuan Li , Yuhao Deng , Wenjie Hu , Quanyu Dai , Zhenhua Dong , Jie Sun , Rui Zhang , Xiao-Hua Zhou