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Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Algorithmic trading relies on extracting meaningful signals from diverse financial data sources, including candlestick charts, order statistics on put and canceled orders, traded volume data, limit order books, and news flow. While deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Stock prices, as an economic indicator, reflect changes in economic development and market conditions. Traditional stock price prediction models often only consider time-series data and are limited by the mechanisms of the models…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Fengting Mo , Shanshan Yan , Yinhao Xiao

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Multimodal demand forecasting aims at predicting product demand utilizing visual, textual, and contextual information. This paper proposes a method for multimodal product demand forecasting using convolutional, graph-based, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-07 Maarten Sukel , Stevan Rudinac , Marcel Worring

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Firm disclosures about future prospects are crucial for corporate valuation and compliance with global regulations, such as the EU's MAR and the US's SEC Rule 10b-5 and RegFD. To comply with disclosure obligations, issuers must identify…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Moritz Scherrmann , Ralf Elsas

Hierarchical forecasting methods have been widely used to support aligned decision-making by providing coherent forecasts at different aggregation levels. Traditional hierarchical forecasting approaches, such as the bottom-up and top-down…

Deep hedging uses recurrent neural networks to hedge financial products that cannot be fully hedged in incomplete markets. Previous work in this area focuses on minimizing some measure of quadratic hedging error by calculating pathwise…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Alok Das , Kiseop Lee

Stock market prediction is a long-standing challenge in finance, as accurate forecasts support informed investment decisions. Traditional models rely mainly on historical prices, but recent work shows that financial news can provide useful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Nader Sadek , Mirette Moawad , Christina Naguib , Mariam Elzahaby

Given the significant potential of large language models (LLMs) in sequence modeling, emerging studies have begun applying them to time-series forecasting. Despite notable progress, existing methods still face two critical challenges: 1)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Pengfei Wang , Huanran Zheng , Qi'ao Xu , Silong Dai , Yiqiao Wang , Wenjing Yue , Wei Zhu , Tianwen Qian , Xiaoling Wang

Hierarchical neural architectures are often used to capture long-distance dependencies and have been applied to many document-level tasks such as summarization, document segmentation, and sentiment analysis. However, effective usage of such…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-01-29 Ming-Wei Chang , Kristina Toutanova , Kenton Lee , Jacob Devlin

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Trajectory forecasting plays a pivotal role in the field of intelligent vehicles or social robots. Recent works focus on modeling spatial social impacts or temporal motion attentions, but neglect inherent properties of motions, i.e. moving…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-29 Qifan Xue , Shengyi Li , Xuanpeng Li , Jingwen Zhao , Weigong Zhang

Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai