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The concept of updating a probability distribution in the light of new evidence lies at the heart of statistics and machine learning. Pearl's and Jeffrey's rule are two natural update mechanisms which lead to different outcomes, yet the…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Bart Jacobs , Dario Stein

Evidence in probabilistic reasoning may be 'hard' or 'soft', that is, it may be of yes/no form, or it may involve a strength of belief, in the unit interval [0, 1]. Reasoning with soft, [0, 1]-valued evidence is important in many situations…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Bart Jacobs

In probabilistic updating one transforms a prior distribution in the light of given evidence into a posterior distribution, via what is called conditioning, updating, belief revision or inference. This is the essence of learning, as…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Bart Jacobs

In this paper, we show a more concise and high level proof than the original one, derived by researcher Bart Jacobs, for the following theorem: in the context of Bayesian update rules for learning or updating internal states that produce…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Carlos Pinzón , Catuscia Palamidessi

In the artificial intelligence field, learning often corresponds to changing the parameters of a parameterized function. A learning rule is an algorithm or mathematical expression that specifies precisely how the parameters should be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-06-13 Philip S. Thomas , Christoph Dann , Emma Brunskill

Learning under one-sided feedback (i.e., where we only observe the labels for examples we predicted positively on) is a fundamental problem in machine learning -- applications include lending and recommendation systems. Despite this, there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-14 Heinrich Jiang , Qijia Jiang , Aldo Pacchiano

This paper describes a natural language parsing algorithm for unrestricted text which uses a probability-based scoring function to select the "best" parse of a sentence. The parser, Pearl, is a time-asynchronous bottom-up chart parser with…

cmp-lg · 计算机科学 2008-02-03 David M. Magerman , Mitchell P. Marcus

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental equation of information theory that quantifies the proximity of two probability distributions. Although difficult to understand by examining the equation, an intuition and understanding…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-09 Jonathon Shlens

In a probability-based reasoning system, Bayes' theorem and its variations are often used to revise the system's beliefs. However, if the explicit conditions and the implicit conditions of probability assignments `me properly distinguished,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-08 Pei Wang

Bayes's rule deals with hard evidence, that is, we can calculate the probability of event $A$ occuring given that event $B$ has occurred. Soft evidence, on the other hand, involves a degree of uncertainty about whether event $B$ has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Edward Yu

Variational regularization is commonly used to solve linear inverse problems, and involves augmenting a data fidelity by a regularizer. The regularizer is used to promote a priori information and is weighted by a regularization parameter.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-23 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Silvia Gazzola , Sebastian J. Scott

In machine learning, it is common to optimize the parameters of a probabilistic model, modulated by an ad hoc regularization term that penalizes some values of the parameters. Regularization terms appear naturally in Variational Inference,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-08 Pierre Wolinski , Guillaume Charpiat , Yann Ollivier

Quantum learning (in metrology and machine learning) involves estimating unknown parameters from measurements of quantum states. The quantum Fisher information matrix can bound the average amount of information learnt about the unknown…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-04-21 Joe H. Jenne , David R. M. Arvidsson-Shukur

As examples such as the Monty Hall puzzle show, applying conditioning to update a probability distribution on a ``naive space', which does not take into account the protocol used, can often lead to counterintuitive results. Here we examine…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

Partial-label learning is a kind of weakly-supervised learning with inexact labels, where for each training example, we are given a set of candidate labels instead of only one true label. Recently, various approaches on partial-label…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-30 Zhenguo Wu , Jiaqi Lv , Masashi Sugiyama

Calibration is a classical notion from the forecasting literature which aims to address the question: how should predicted probabilities be interpreted? In a world where we only get to observe (discrete) outcomes, how should we evaluate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu

We provide a natural learning process in which a financial trader without a risk receives a gain in case when Stock Market is inefficient. In this process, the trader rationally choose his gambles using a prediction made by a randomized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-05-24 Vladimir Trunov , Vladimir V'yugin

Incrementally training deep neural networks to recognize new classes is a challenging problem. Most existing class-incremental learning methods store data or use generative replay, both of which have drawbacks, while 'rehearsal-free'…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Gido M. van de Ven , Zhe Li , Andreas S. Tolias

We examine two types of binary betting markets, whose primary goal is for profit (such as sports gambling) or to gain information (such as prediction markets). We articulate the interplay between belief and price-setting to analyse both…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Haiqing Zhu , Alexander Soen , Yun Kuen Cheung , Lexing Xie
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