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相关论文: A Moment in the Sun: Solar Nowcasting from Multisp…

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Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Quentin Paletta , Max Aragon , Andea Scott , Adam Brandt

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

This paper describes a flexible approach to short term prediction of meteorological variables. In particular, we focus on the prediction of the solar irradiance one hour ahead, a task that has high practical value when optimizing solar…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-11-06 Pierrick Bruneau , Philippe Pinheiro , Yoann Didry

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

Renewable energy forecasting is attaining greater importance due to its constant increase in contribution to the electrical power grids. Solar energy is one of the most significant contributors to renewable energy and is dependent on solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 V. Gunasekaran , K. K. Kovi , S. Arja , R. Chimata

Machine learning techniques have been widely used in attempts to forecast several solar datasets. Most of these approaches employ supervised machine learning algorithms which are, in general, very data hungry. This hampers the attempts to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-07 Eurico Covas

The volume of data being collected in solar physics has exponentially increased over the past decade and with the introduction of the $\textit{Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope}$ (DKIST) we will be entering the age of petabyte solar data.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-10 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

Predicting the intensity and amount of sunlight as a function of location and time is an essential component in identifying promising locations for economical solar farming. Although weather models and irradiance data are relatively…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-25 Furong Sun , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland , Siyuan Lu , Youngdeok Hwang

The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Large-scale integration of photovoltaics (PV) into electricity grids is challenged by the intermittent nature of solar power. Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach to predicting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Andea Scott , Yuchi Sun , Vignesh Venugopal , Adam Brandt

Dust storms are common in arid zones on the earth and others planets such as Mars. The impact of dust storms on solar radiation has significant implications for solar power plants and autonomous vehicles powered by solar panels. This paper…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-09-03 B. Ravindra

High energy solar flares and coronal mass ejections have the potential to destroy Earth's ground and satellite infrastructures, causing trillions of dollars in damage and mass human suffering. Destruction of these critical systems would…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-18 Erik Larsen

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasts predominantly rely on dense weather-radar networks, limiting operational value in places most exposed to climate extremes. We present TUPANN (Transferable and Universal Physics-Aligned Nowcasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Antônio Catão , Melvin Poveda , Leonardo Voltarelli , Paulo Orenstein

A deep learning model is presented to nowcast the occurrence of lightning at a five-minute time resolution 60 minutes into the future. The model is based on a recurrent-convolutional architecture that allows it to recognize and predict the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Urs Germann

Accurate day-ahead forecasts of solar irradiance are required for the large-scale integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems into the power grid. However, current forecasting solutions lack the temporal and spatial resolution required…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Baptiste Schubnel , Jelena Simeunović , Corentin Tissier , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Damith Senanayake , Saman Halgamuge

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

In this paper, we compare the effectiveness of a two-stage control strategy for the energy management system (EMS) of a grid-connected microgrid under uncertain solar irradiance and load demand using a real-world dataset from an island in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-01 Subrat Prasad Panda , Blaise Genest , Arvind Easwaran , Rémy Rigo-Mariani , PengFeng Lin