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One of the main concerns in extreme value theory is to quantify the dependence between joint tails. Using stochastic processes that lack flexibility in the joint tail may lead to severe under-or over-estimation of probabilities associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-04 Abul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

An overview of existing nonparametric tests of extreme-value dependence is presented. Given an i.i.d.\ sample of random vectors from a continuous distribution, such tests aim at assessing whether the underlying unknown copula is of the {\em…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-27 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

Extreme-value copulas arise in the asymptotic theory for componentwise maxima of independent random samples. An extreme-value copula is determined by its Pickands dependence function, which is a function on the unit simplex subject to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-30 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this work we present a rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization algorithm to determine the marginal distributions and the dependence structure in a Gaussian copula model with missing data. We further show how to circumvent a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Maximilian Kertel , Markus Pauly

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

This paper deals with a situation when one is interested in the dependence structure of a multidimensional response variable in the presence of a multivariate covariate. It is assumed that the covariate affects only the marginal…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-12 Marek Omelka , Šárka Hudecová , Natalie Neumeyer

We define in a probabilistic way a parametric family of multivariate extreme value distributions. We derive its copula, which is a mixture of several complete dependent copulas and total independent copulas, and the bivariate tail…

概率论 · 数学 2012-03-09 Helena Ferreira

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal

Extreme-value copulas arise as the limiting dependence structure of component-wise maxima. Defined in terms of a functional parameter, they are one of the most widespread copula families due to their flexibility and ability to capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Javier Fernández Serrano

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

Missing data imputation forms the first critical step of many data analysis pipelines. The challenge is greatest for mixed data sets, including real, Boolean, and ordinal data, where standard techniques for imputation fail basic sanity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Yuxuan Zhao , Madeleine Udell

We study the identification and estimation of statistical functionals of multivariate data missing non-monotonically and not-at-random, taking a semiparametric approach. Specifically, we assume that the missingness mechanism satisfies what…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser , Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen

The core of the classical block maxima method consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of maxima over blocks extracted from an underlying series. In asymptotic theory, it is usually postulated that the block maxima are…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-09 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

Many applications in risk analysis, especially in environmental sciences, require the estimation of the dependence among multivariate maxima. A way to do this is by inferring the Pickands dependence function of the underlying extreme-value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-18 G. Marcon , S. A. Padoan , P. Naveau , P. Muliere , J. Segers

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

We consider regression models with parametric (linear or nonlinear) regression function and allow responses to be ``missing at random.'' We assume that the errors have mean zero and are independent of the covariates. In order to estimate…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-24 Ursula U. Müller
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