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Natural experiments are a cornerstone of applied economics, providing settings for estimating causal effects with a compelling argument for treatment randomisation, but give little indication of the mechanisms behind causal effects. Causal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-07 Senan Hogan-Hennessy

Hybrid controlled trials (HCTs), which augment randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external controls (ECs), are increasingly receiving attention as a way to address limited power, slow accrual, and ethical concerns in clinical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Jiajun Liu , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

Randomized controlled trials are the standard method for estimating causal effects, ensuring sufficient statistical power and confidence through adequate sample sizes. However, achieving such sample sizes is often challenging. This study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

Adaptive enrichment allows for pre-defined patient subgroups of interest to be investigated throughout the course of a clinical trial. Many trials which measure a long-term time-to-event endpoint often also routinely collect repeated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-26 Abigail J. Burdon , Richard D. Baird , Thomas Jaki

Causal mediation analysis has become an important and increasingly used framework for evaluating candidate immune response biomarkers in vaccine research. A controlled effects approach has been proposed to estimate controlled risk curves…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Qijia He , Bo Zhang

Biomarker measurements can be relatively easy and quick to obtain and they are useful to investigate whether a compound works as intended on a mechanistic, pharmacological level. In some situations, it is realistic to assume that patients,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Björn Bornkamp , Georgina Bermann

External controls (ECs) from historical trials or real-world data have gained increasing attention as a way to augment hybrid and single-arm trials, especially when balanced randomization is infeasible. While most existing work has focused…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-15 Yujing Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

Friedman test is a nonparametric method that proposed for analyzing data from a randomized complete block design as a robust alternative to parametric method and widely applied in many fields such as agriculture, biology, business,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-21 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

Meta-analysis seeks to combine the results of several experiments in order to improve the accuracy of decisions. It is common to use a test for homogeneity to determine if the results of the several experiments are sufficiently similar to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-08-01 Elena Kulinskaya , Michael B. Dollinger , Kirsten Bjørkestøl

The clinical trial is a pivotal and costly process, often spanning multiple years and requiring substantial financial resources. Therefore, the development of clinical trial outcome prediction models aims to exclude drugs likely to fail and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Wenhao Zheng , Liaoyaqi Wang , Dongshen Peng , Hongxia Xu , Yun Li , Hongtu Zhu , Tianfan Fu , Huaxiu Yao

There is increasing interest in combining information from experimental studies, including randomized and single-group trials, with information from external experimental or observational data sources. Such efforts are usually motivated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Lawson Ung , Guanbo Wang , Sebastien Haneuse , Miguel A. Hernán , Issa J. Dahabreh

Heterogeneous treatment effects can be very important in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Heightened risks or enhanced benefits may exist for particular subsets of study subjects. When the heterogeneous treatment effects are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk , Matthew Olson , Andreas Buja , Aurelie Ouss

Machine learning (ML) models show strong promise for new biomedical prediction tasks, but concerns about trustworthiness have hindered their clinical adoption. In particular, it is often unclear whether a model relies on true clinical cues…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Dushan N. Wadduwage , Dineth Jayakody , Leonidas Zimianitis

Non-linear mixed effects modeling and simulation (NLME M&S) is evaluated to be used for standardization with longitudinal data in presence of confounders. Standardization is a well-known method in causal inference to correct for confounding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Christian Bartels , Martina Scauda , Neva Coello , Thomas Dumortier , Bjoern Bornkamp , Giusi Moffa

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are widely regarded as the gold standard for causal inference in biomedical research. For instance, when estimating the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT), a doubly robust estimation procedure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Chi-Shian Dai , Chao Ying , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

In causal inference, the correct formulation of the scientific question of interest is a crucial step. Here we apply the estimand framework to a comparison of the outcomes of patient-level clinical trials and observational data to help…

Measurement error is a common challenge for causal inference studies using electronic health record (EHR) data, where clinical outcomes and treatments are frequently mismeasured. Researchers often address measurement error by conducting…

The estimand framework included in the addendum to the ICH E9 guideline facilitates discussions to ensure alignment between the key question of interest, the analysis, and interpretation. Therapeutic knowledge and drug mechanism play a…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2023-04-17 Steven Sun , Hans-Jochen Weber , Emily Butler , Kaspar Rufibach , Satrajit Roychoudhury

Adapting the final sample size of a trial to the evidence accruing during the trial is a natural way to address planning uncertainty. Designs with adaptive sample size need to account for their optional stopping to guarantee strict type-I…

In multicenter randomized trials, when effect modifiers have a different distribution across centers, comparisons between treatment groups that average over centers may not apply to any of the populations underlying the individual centers.…