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Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

One of the major challenges in using distributed learning to train complicated models with large data sets is to deal with stragglers effect. As a solution, coded computation has been recently proposed to efficiently add redundancy to the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Tayyebeh Jahani-Nezhad , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

We extend Bayesian multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms beyond their original setting by making use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. A MAB is a sequential decision making problem where the goal is to learn a policy that maximizes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Iñigo Urteaga , Chris H. Wiggins

We propose a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for sampling from unnormalized target distributions based on a reverse denoising diffusion process. While recent diffusion-based samplers simulate the reverse diffusion using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Luhuan Wu , Yi Han , Christian A. Naesseth , John P. Cunningham

In many applications of Bayesian clustering, posterior sampling on the discrete state space of cluster allocations is achieved via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. As it is typically challenging to design transition kernels to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Masoud Asgharian , Martin Lysy , Vahid Partovi Nia

Bayesian variable selection requires sampling from a posterior distribution that combines discrete model indicators with continuously varying parameters, a challenge often addressed through reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC).…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Don van den Bergh , Merlise A. Clyde , Adrian E. Raftery , Maarten Marsman

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

Bayesian filtering aims at tracking sequentially a hidden process from an observed one. In particular, sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) techniques propagate in time weighted trajectories which represent the posterior probability density…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-22 Yohan Petetin , François Desbouvries

Stochastic approximation Monte Carlo (SAMC) has recently been proposed by Liang, Liu and Carroll [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 102 (2007) 305--320] as a general simulation and optimization algorithm. In this paper, we propose to improve its…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 Faming Liang

Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

We present the Bayesian consensus filter (BCF) for tracking a moving target using a networked group of sensing agents and achieving consensus on the best estimate of the probability distributions of the target's states. Our BCF framework…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-10-14 Saptarshi Bandyopadhyay , Soon-Jo Chung

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Master-worker distributed computing systems use task replication in order to mitigate the effect of slow workers, known as stragglers. Tasks are grouped into batches and assigned to one or more workers for execution. We first consider the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Amir Behrouzi-Far , Emina Soljanin

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is the predominant tool used in Bayesian parameter estimation for hierarchical models. When the model expands due to an increasing number of hierarchical levels, number of groups at a particular level, or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-22 Will Landau , Jarad Niemi

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

In Continual Learning (CL), a model is required to learn a stream of tasks sequentially without significant performance degradation on previously learned tasks. Current approaches fail for a long sequence of tasks from diverse domains and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Iordanis Fostiropoulos , Jiaye Zhu , Laurent Itti

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-17 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead