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A growing statistical literature focuses on causal inference in the context of experiments where the target of inference is the average treatment effect in a finite population and random assignment determines which subjects are allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Donald P. Green

Matching estimators for average treatment effects are widely used in the binary treatment setting, in which missing potential outcomes are imputed as the average of observed outcomes of all matches for each unit. With more than two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Anthony D. Scotina , Francesca L. Beaudoin , Roee Gutman

Consider sensitivity analysis for estimating average treatment effects under unmeasured confounding, assumed to satisfy a marginal sensitivity model. At the population level, we provide new representations for the sharp population bounds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Zhiqiang Tan

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang

The research is about a systematic investigation on the following issues. First, we construct different outcome regression-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect under, respectively, true (oracle), parametric,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Lu Li , Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Difference-in-differences is based on a parallel trends assumption, which states that changes over time in average potential outcomes are independent of treatment assignment, possibly conditional on covariates. With time-varying treatments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Nicholas Illenberger , Iván Díaz , Audrey Renson

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff. A researcher seeking to estimate a scalar parameter can invoke strong assumptions to motivate a restricted estimator that is precise but may be heavily biased, or they…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-17 Timothy B. Armstrong , Patrick Kline , Liyang Sun

Statistical inference for high dimensional parameters (HDPs) can be based on their intrinsic correlation; that is, parameters that are close spatially or temporally tend to have more similar values. This is why nonlinear mixed-effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan

Prediction models are used amongst others to inform medical decisions on interventions. Typically, individuals with high risks of adverse outcomes are advised to undergo an intervention while those at low risk are advised to refrain from…

This commentary regards a recent simulation study conducted by Aouni, Gaudel-Dedieu and Sebastien, evaluating the performance of different versions of matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) in an anchored scenario with a common…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

We consider the problem of estimating the unconditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure resulting from first selecting a model (e.g., by…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-08 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Poetscher

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

Commonly, AI or machine learning (ML) models are evaluated on benchmark datasets. This practice supports innovative methodological research, but benchmark performance can be poorly correlated with performance in real-world applications -- a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Olivier Binette , Jerome P. Reiter

Investigators often use multi-source data (e.g., multi-center trials, meta-analyses of randomized trials, pooled analyses of observational cohorts) to learn about the effects of interventions in subgroups of some well-defined target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-06 Guanbo Wang , Alexander Levis , Jon Steingrimsson , Issa Dahabreh

Bandit algorithms are increasingly used in real-world sequential decision-making problems. Associated with this is an increased desire to be able to use the resulting datasets to answer scientific questions like: Did one type of ad lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Kelly W. Zhang , Lucas Janson , Susan A. Murphy

The same intervention can produce different effects in different sites. Transport mediation estimators can estimate the extent to which such differences can be explained by differences in compositional factors and the mechanisms by which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Kara E. Rudolph , Ivan Diaz

We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-27 Daniel Jacob

Intensity-based multistate models provide a useful framework for characterizing disease processes, the introduction of interventions, loss to follow-up, and other complications arising in the conduct of randomized trials studying complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-29 Alexandra Bühler , Richard J. Cook , Jerald F. Lawless