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Boosting is an ensemble method that combines base models in a sequential manner to achieve high predictive accuracy. A popular learning algorithm based on this ensemble method is eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). We present an adaptation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-18 Jacob Montiel , Rory Mitchell , Eibe Frank , Bernhard Pfahringer , Talel Abdessalem , Albert Bifet

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

Competition between times series often arises in sales prediction, when similar products are on sale on a marketplace. This article provides a model of the presence of cannibalization between times series. This model creates a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Rémy Garnier

It is already reported in the literature that the performance of a machine learning algorithm is greatly impacted by performing proper Hyper-Parameter optimization. One of the ways to perform Hyper-Parameter optimization is by manual search…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Sayan Putatunda , Kiran Rama

We consider a robust version of the revenue maximization problem, where a single seller wishes to sell $n$ items to a single unit-demand buyer. In this robust version, the seller knows the buyer's marginal value distribution for each item…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-27 Moshe Babaioff , Michal Feldman , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Brendan Lucier , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

Loan default prediction is one of the most important and critical problems faced by banks and other financial institutions as it has a huge effect on profit. Although many traditional methods exist for mining information about a loan…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-07 Rising Odegua

This paper compares the performance of various data processing methods in terms of predictive performance for structured data. This paper also seeks to identify and recommend preprocessing methodologies for tree-based binary classification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Tosan Johnson , Alice J. Liu , Syed Raza , Aaron McGuire

In this short paper we investigate whether meta-learning techniques can be used to more effectively tune the hyperparameters of machine learning models using successive halving (SH). We propose a novel variant of the SH algorithm (MeSH),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-22 Johanna Sommer , Dimitrios Sarigiannis , Thomas Parnell

The energy consumption of the HVAC system accounts for a significant portion of the energy consumption of the public building system, and using an efficient energy consumption prediction model can assist it in carrying out effective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-24 Yunlong Li , Yiming Peng , Dengzheng Zhang , Yingan Mai , Zhengrong Ruan

This work studies algorithms for learning from aggregate responses. We focus on the construction of aggregation sets (called bags in the literature) for event-level loss functions. We prove for linear regression and generalized linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-08 Adel Javanmard , Matthew Fahrbach , Vahab Mirrokni

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method, named XGBoostPP, to nonparametrically estimate the intensity of a point process as a function of covariates. It extends the use of gradient-boosted regression trees (Chen & Guestrin, 2016) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 C. Lu , Y. Guan , M. N. M. van Lieshout , G. Xu

This paper compares the performances of three supervised machine learning algorithms in terms of predictive ability and model interpretation on structured or tabular data. The algorithms considered were scikit-learn implementations of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-06 Alice J. Liu , Arpita Mukherjee , Linwei Hu , Jie Chen , Vijayan N. Nair

Microarray gene expression data are often accompanied by a large number of genes and a small number of samples. However, only a few of these genes are relevant to cancer, resulting in signigicant gene selection challenges. Hence, we propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Xiongshi Deng , Min Li , Shaobo Deng , Lei Wang

We develop a system-theoretic framework for the structured analysis of distributed optimization algorithms with decomposable cost functions. We model such algorithms as a network of interacting dynamical systems and derive tests for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-14 Aron Karakai , Jaap Eising , Andrea Martinelli , Florian Dörfler

Gamma process has been extensively used to model monotone degradation data. Statistical inference for the gamma process is difficult due to the complex parameter structure involved in the likelihood function. In this paper, we derive a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-07 Ancha Xu

An information theoretic approach to learning the complexity of classification and regression trees and the number of trees in gradient tree boosting is proposed. The optimism (test loss minus training loss) of the greedy leaf splitting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Berent Ånund Strømnes Lunde , Tore Selland Kleppe , Hans Julius Skaug

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

Machine learning improves predictive accuracy in insurance pricing but exacerbates trade-offs between competing fairness criteria across different discrimination measures, challenging regulators and insurers to reconcile profitability with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-01 Tim J. Boonen , Xinyue Fan , Zixiao Quan

Forecasting, to estimate future events, is crucial for business and decision-making. This paper proposes QxEAI, a methodology that produces a probabilistic forecast that utilizes a quantum-like evolutionary algorithm based on training a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-24 Kevin Xin , Lizhi Xin

Predictive process monitoring is concerned with the analysis of events produced during the execution of a business process in order to predict as early as possible the final outcome of an ongoing case. Traditionally, predictive process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Anna Leontjeva , Fabrizio Maria Maggi